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NBA predictions today

Games played
3/1200
Teams
30
Home wins
33%
Avg total
220
Oct 202610% of the season playedApr 2027

Top pick · NBA

NBA ·
72%Houston Rockets to win
Houston RocketsDallas MavericksVS
Projected
119–112
Spread
−8.5
Total
229.5
Full breakdown

Today, Wednesday, October 21 — NBA: 11 games

The strongest pick is Houston Rockets against Dallas Mavericks: 72% to win, with a projected 119–112. The closest call is New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers, 53% for Indiana Pacers and a projected 117–118. The highest projected total is 237 points, in Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves.

Every game below has a win probability, a projected score and lines for the spread and the total; where bookmakers price a game, the pick leans toward their consensus. Over the 2025–26 season the model called 69% of NBA winners (1,315 games), against 56% for always backing the home team.

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NBA predictions: questions

How accurate are the NBA predictions?
The model was tested on the whole 2025–26 season, predicting each game only from the games before it: it called 69% of NBA winners in 1,315 games, against 56% for always backing the home team. Every new pick is settled in public on the accuracy page.
When are NBA predictions published?
Up to 3 days before tip-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market and the line-ups move, until the game starts.
What do the spread and the total mean?
The spread is the projected winning margin: −5.5 means the favourite is expected to win by 6 points or more. The total is the projected number of points both teams score together; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the bookmakers' line.
Are the NBA predictions free?
Yes. The win probability, projected score, spread and total of every NBA game are free to read, with no sign-up.
How are the predictions made?
Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-court edge measured for each competition. Where bookmakers price a game, the model is blended with their consensus.