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Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

HomeSacramento Kings0–5, 15th in Western ConferenceAwayMemphis Grizzlies3–1, 1st in Western Conference
Tip-off
40%60%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Memphis Grizzlies to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
115–118
Margin
+3

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies?

The numbers side with Memphis Grizzlies (60%) on the road against Sacramento Kings, with 118–115 the most likely shape of the final score.

Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 103.4 and allowing 119.2 points a game over that stretch. Memphis Grizzlies have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 114.4 and allowing 106.2 points a game over that stretch.

Sacramento Kings sit 15th in the Western Conference at 0–5, while Memphis Grizzlies sit 1st in the Western Conference at 3–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Sacramento Kings rate -3.6 and Memphis Grizzlies +2.2 points per game against an average side, a 5.8-point edge to Memphis Grizzlies. Home court is worth about 1.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Memphis Grizzlies at 59% across 9 bookmakers.

Memphis Grizzlies to win (60%). Projected score: 118–115.

Tale of the tape

Sacramento KingsBefore tip-offMemphis Grizzlies
  • 0–2Season record2–0
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 0–2Last 10 games2–0
  • L2Current streakW2
  • 108.0Points per game117.0
  • 124.5Points allowed per game105.5
  • −16.5Average margin+11.5
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • 42.0Rebounds per game50.5
  • 21.5Assists per game24.5
  • 8.0Three-pointers made per game14.0
  • 28.0Bench points per game37.5
  • −3.6Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.1
  • −2.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.2
  • −1.6DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.0
  • +1.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Sacramento Kings−3.031.0–34.0+2.028.0–26.0−17.021.0–38.0+1.528.0–26.5
Memphis Grizzlies−1.531.0–32.5+10.031.0–21.0−2.029.0–31.0+5.026.0–21.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Zach LaVineGuard · Sacramento KingsVSTy JeromeGuard · Memphis Grizzlies

Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games

  • 25.0Points36.5
  • 4.5Rebounds4.5
  • 2.5Assists5.5
  • 3.0Three-pointers made4.0
  • 36.7Minutes31.6

Team leaders

Sacramento KingsThis seasonMemphis Grizzlies

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Zach LaVineVSTy Jerome
PTS
25.0·36.5
REB
4.5·4.5
AST
2.5·5.5
Forwards
Domantas SabonisVSGregory Jackson
PTS
20.5·7.0
REB
18.5·6.0
AST
9.0·0.5
Starters
J. D. AcuffVSC. Boozer
PTS
22.5·16.0
REB
2.5·12.0
AST
3.5·5.5
Cross-matchup
Keegan MurrayVSJ. Wells
PTS
7.0·14.5
REB
3.0·4.5
AST
0.5·1.5
Cross-matchup
De'Andre HunterVSZ. Edey
PTS
5.0·7.0
REB
5.0·9.5
AST
1.0·1.5

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Sacramento Kings

Likely starting five

  1. Zach LaVine
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    25.0
  2. Domantas Sabonis
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    20.5
  3. J. D. Acuff
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    22.5
  4. Keegan Murray
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    7.0
  5. De'Andre Hunter
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    5.0
Away
Memphis Grizzlies

Likely starting five

  1. C. Boozer
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    16.0
  2. Ty Jerome
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    36.5
  3. J. Wells
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    14.5
  4. Z. Edey
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    7.0
  5. Gregory Jackson
    Forward · Started 1 of last 2
    PPG
    7.0
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (7)

Recent form

Sacramento Kings

0–5

0–5, 15th in Western Conference

Memphis Grizzlies

4–1

3–1, 1st in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day