Basketora

Tortona vs Basket Napoli prediction

HomeTortona1–3, 14th in AwayBasket Napoli3–1, 7th in
Tip-off
51%49%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Tortona to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
90–89
Margin
+1

Who will win Tortona vs Basket Napoli?

Our model makes Tortona 51% favourites at home against Basket Napoli and projects a 90–89 final.

Tortona have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 83.0 and allowing 95.8 points a game over that stretch. Basket Napoli have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 93.5 and allowing 86.5 points a game over that stretch.

Tortona sit 14th at 1–3, while Basket Napoli sit 7th at 3–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Tortona rate -3.9 and Basket Napoli +1.8 points per game against an average side, a 5.7-point edge to Basket Napoli. Home court is worth about 2.7 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Tortona at 51% across 2 bookmakers.

Tortona to win (51%). Projected score: 90–89. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

TortonaBefore tip-offBasket Napoli
  • 1–3Season record3–1
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–0
  • 1–3Last 10 games3–1
  • L3Current streakL1
  • 83.0Points per game93.5
  • 95.8Points allowed per game86.5
  • −12.8Average margin+7.0
  • 3 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • 35.4Rebounds per game29.8
  • 13.4Assists per game22.0
  • 8.4Three-pointers made per game13.0
  • 30.4Bench points per game47.0
  • −3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.8
  • −1.6AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.9
  • −2.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.1
  • +2.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Tortona+0.524.5–24.0−4.521.0–25.5−4.020.5–24.5−4.817.0–21.8
Basket Napoli0.022.3–22.3+2.323.3–21.0+1.723.0–21.3+3.025.0–22.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

D. MaddoxTortonaVSJeff DowtinBasket Napoli

Leading scorers · averages over the last 4 games

  • 13.8Points15.5
  • 3.4Rebounds1.5
  • 1.8Assists3.8
  • 2.0Three-pointers made1.5
  • 25.6Minutes26.0

Team leaders

TortonaThis seasonBasket Napoli

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
D. MaddoxVSJeff Dowtin
PTS
13.8·15.5
REB
3.4·1.5
AST
1.8·3.8
Starters
Justin GorhamVSZac Seljaas
PTS
11.2·13.3
REB
6.2·5.0
AST
1.4·3.3
Starters
Prentiss HubbVSJahmius Ramsey
PTS
10.0·11.8
REB
3.6·0.8
AST
3.4·1.0
Starters
Karim JallowVSLeonardo Faggian
PTS
9.0·3.5
REB
3.6·1.8
AST
2.0·2.0
Starters
Dominik OlejniczakVSK. Tarczewski
PTS
8.0·1.3
REB
7.2·1.5
AST
0.4·0.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Tortona

Likely starting five

  1. Justin Gorham
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    11.2
  2. Karim Jallow
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    9.0
  3. D. Maddox
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    13.8
  4. Dominik Olejniczak
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    8.0
  5. Prentiss Hubb
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
Away
Basket Napoli

Likely starting five

  1. Zac Seljaas
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    13.3
  2. Jeff Dowtin
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    15.5
  3. Leonardo Faggian
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    3.5
  4. K. Tarczewski
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    1.3
  5. Jahmius Ramsey
    Started 2 of last 4
    PPG
    11.8
Full lineups and bench
Photo credits (13)

Dominik Olejniczak: Steffen Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0; Markel Brown: Sakhalinio, CC BY-SA 4.0; Zac Seljaas: Zafer, CC BY 4.0; Justin Gorham: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0; Karim Jallow: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; Prentiss Hubb: Basketinside il basket a 360°, CC BY-SA 2.0; Amar Alibegovic: Zafer, CC BY 4.0; Giordano Bortolani: Zafer, CC BY-SA 4.0; Paul Eboua: Basketinside il basket a 360° from Italia, CC BY 2.0; Jahmius Ramsey: OSU Athletics, CC BY 2.0; John Petrucelli: Tom Hagerty, CC BY 2.0; Marco Spissu: Vanbasten 23, CC BY-SA 4.0; Guglielmo Caruso: Zafer, CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Tortona

1–3

1–3, 14th in

Basket Napoli

3–1

3–1, 7th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day