Italy2026-27 seasonLega Basket Serie A predictions
- Games played
- 32/240
- Teams
- 16
- Home wins
- 56%
- Avg total
- 174
Top pick · Lega Basket Serie A
Lega Basket Serie A ·
- Projected
- 82–84
- Spread
- −2.5
- Total
- 164.5
Next up, Saturday, October 24 — Lega Basket Serie A: 2 games
The strongest pick is Trento against Scafati: 58% to win, with a projected 82–84. The closest call is Varese vs BC Roma, 53% for Varese and a projected 89–88.
Every game below has a win probability, a projected score and lines for the spread and the total; where bookmakers price a game, the pick leans toward their consensus. Over the 2025–26 season the model called 69% of Lega Basket Serie A winners (255 games), against 61% for always backing the home team.
Next games
- Varese89BC Roma88Varese53%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Varese edge it at 53%, projected 89–88.
- Scafati82Trento84Trento58%Toss-upToss-up
Close to a coin flip: Trento edge it at 58%, projected 82–84. Market odds for the pick: 1.62.
Recent results
How the Serie A basketball season works
The Lega Basket Serie A (LBA) is Italy's top division. Its clubs play a home-and-away regular season from late September to May; the top eight go into the playoffs for the Scudetto in May and June, and the bottom of the table is relegated. Olimpia Milano and Virtus Bologna, both EuroLeague clubs, have shared most recent titles.
What decides Serie A basketball games
Milano and Virtus play twice a week in Europe, and the Sunday league game after a double-round week is where they drop points. Below them, the league is balanced, many games are decided in the last minutes, and home court is strong, especially in the smaller arenas. Games are 40 minutes under FIBA rules, with totals usually around 160 points.
Reading our Serie A basketball predictions
Each game shows the win probability, a projected score, the handicap and the total. Between mid-table teams, a 55% pick is close to a coin flip, and comparing our projected total with the line is often more useful. Before backing Milano or Virtus with a big handicap, check their EuroLeague schedule that week.
Lega Basket Serie A predictions: questions
- Who are the favourites for the Scudetto?
- Olimpia Milano and Virtus Bologna have the biggest budgets and have won most titles of recent years, but the playoffs regularly produce surprises.
- How many teams reach the Serie A playoffs?
- The top eight of the regular season, playing series for the Scudetto in May and June.
- Do EuroLeague games affect Serie A predictions?
- Yes. Milano and Virtus often rotate in league games after a European double-round week; the market reacts, and our prediction follows it.
- How accurate are the Lega Basket Serie A predictions?
- The model was tested on the whole 2025–26 season, predicting each game only from the games before it: it called 69% of Lega Basket Serie A winners in 255 games, against 61% for always backing the home team. Every new pick is settled in public on the accuracy page.
- How many points are scored in Lega Basket Serie A games?
- Finished Lega Basket Serie A games this season have averaged 174 points in total, and the home team has won 56% of them. Each game's own projected total is on its prediction page.
- When are Lega Basket Serie A predictions published?
- Up to 3 days before tip-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market and the line-ups move, until the game starts.
- What do the spread and the total mean?
- The spread is the projected winning margin: −5.5 means the favourite is expected to win by 6 points or more. The total is the projected number of points both teams score together; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the bookmakers' line.
- Are the Lega Basket Serie A predictions free?
- The winner, the win probability and the projected score of every Lega Basket Serie A game are free to read, with no sign-up. The spread and total picks, the market prices and the full analysis are part of the Starter and Pro plans, and one game a day is fully unlocked for everyone.
- How are the predictions made?
- Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-court edge measured for each competition. Where bookmakers price a game, the model is blended with their consensus.