Basketball predictions under/over today
The model's projected total for every game in the next week across all our competitions, over or under, and how likely it is.
The highest projected total this week is 233 points, in Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers; the lowest is 140 points, in Corinthians Paulista vs Franca. By competition, NBA projects the most points (227 per game) and NBB the fewest (146).
- Charlotte Hornets vs Miami HeatProjected total: 225 points · line 225.5Model backs
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn NetsProjected total: 226 points · line 226.5Model backs
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee BucksProjected total: 229 points · line 229.5Model backs
- Chicago Bulls vs Washington WizardsProjected total: 231 points · line 229.5Model backs
- Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio SpursProjected total: 227 points · line 227.5Model backs
- Atlanta Hawks vs Houston RocketsProjected total: 231 points · line 230.5Model backs
- Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans PelicansProjected total: 224 points · line 223.5Model backs
- Phoenix Suns vs Golden State WarriorsProjected total: 225 points · line 224.5Model backs
- Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles LakersProjected total: 227 points · line 226.5Model backs
- Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana PacersProjected total: 229 points · line 228.5Model backs
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles ClippersProjected total: 221 points · line 220.5Model backs
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto RaptorsProjected total: 226 points · line 225.5Model backs
- New York Knicks vs Orlando MagicProjected total: 226 points · line 225.5Model backs
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit PistonsProjected total: 226 points · line 226.5Model backs
- Sacramento Kings vs Memphis GrizzliesProjected total: 225 points · line 224.5Model backs
- Charlotte Hornets vs Washington WizardsProjected total: 222 points · line 221.5Model backs
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota TimberwolvesProjected total: 226 points · line 225.5Model backs
- Boston Celtics vs Chicago BullsProjected total: 229 points · line 229.5Model backs
- Miami Heat vs Dallas MavericksProjected total: 231 points · line 231.5Model backs
- Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana PacersProjected total: 233 points · line 232.5Model backs
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix SunsProjected total: 220 points · line 219.5Model backs
- Atlanta Dream vs Golden State ValkyriesProjected total: 161 points · line 160.5Model backs
- Manresa vs San Pablo BurgosProjected total: 184 points · line 184.5Model backs
- Murcia vs Leyma CorunaProjected total: 184 points · line 180.5Model backs
- Barcelona vs Basket ZaragozaProjected total: 184 points · line 181.5Model backs
- Basquet Girona vs Joventut BadalonaProjected total: 182 points · line 179.5Model backs
- Bilbao vs MoraBanc AndorraProjected total: 185 points · line 182.5Model backs
- Tenerife vs Obradoiro CABProjected total: 176 points · line 175.5Model backs
- Valencia vs BaskoniaProjected total: 185 points · line 183.5Model backs
- Breogan vs UnicajaProjected total: 184 points · line 182.5Model backs
- Forca Lleida vs Real MadridProjected total: 189 points · line 185.5Model backs
- Trabzonspor vs Esenler EroksporProjected total: 164 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Turk Telekom vs Denizli BasketProjected total: 159 points · line 159.5Model backs
- Bahcesehir Kol. vs BesiktasProjected total: 168 points · line 167.5Model backs
- Anadolu Efes vs Korfez BasketProjected total: 163 points · line 162.5Model backs
- Karsiyaka vs FenerbahceProjected total: 166 points · line 165.5Model backs
- Tofas vs Petkim SporProjected total: 168 points · line 169.5Model backs
- Galatasaray vs Bordo BandirmaProjected total: 165 points · line 165.5Model backs
- Mykonos vs ArisProjected total: 157 points · line 156.5Model backs
- Lefkadas vs IraklisProjected total: 158 points · line 159Model backs
- PAOK vs AEK AthensProjected total: 163 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Peristeri vs MaroussiProjected total: 164 points · line 165Model backs
- Panathinaikos vs AS KarditsasProjected total: 159 points · line 162.5Model backs
- Kolossos Rhodes vs VikosProjected total: 165 points · line 165.5Model backs
- Promitheas vs OlympiacosProjected total: 165 points · line 169.5Model backs
- Varese vs BC RomaProjected total: 177 points · line 177.5Model backs
- Scafati vs TrentoProjected total: 166 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Tortona vs Basket NapoliProjected total: 179 points · line 177.5Model backs
- Olimpia Milano vs Virtus BolognaProjected total: 172 points · line 170.5Model backs
- Maxima Roma vs UdineProjected total: 170 points · line 170.5Model backs
- Venezia vs TrevisoProjected total: 178 points · line 176.5Model backs
- Reggiana vs CantuProjected total: 170 points · line 167.5Model backs
- Trieste vs VeronaProjected total: 171 points · line 171.5Model backs
- Boulazac vs Le MansProjected total: 173 points · line 171.5Model backs
- JL Bourg vs Gravelines-DunkerqueProjected total: 170 points · line 169.5Model backs
- Chalon/Saone vs StrasbourgProjected total: 165 points · line 165.5Model backs
- Nanterre vs CholetProjected total: 165 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Roanne vs ParisProjected total: 171 points · line 170.5Model backs
- Lyon-Villeurbanne vs NancyProjected total: 167 points · line 166.5Model backs
- Pau-Orthez vs LimogesProjected total: 171 points · line 168.5Model backs
- Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane BulletsProjected total: 194 points · line 192.5Model backs
- South East Melbourne vs AdelaideProjected total: 188 points · line 188.5Model backs
- Cairns Taipans vs New Zealand BreakersProjected total: 187 points · line 188.5Model backs
- Melbourne United vs SydneyProjected total: 187 points · line 187.5Model backs
- Gargzdai vs LietkabelisProjected total: 167 points · line 166Model backs
- Taurage vs NevezisProjected total: 166 points · line 168Model backs
- Juventus vs RytasProjected total: 171 points · line 171.5Model backs
- Zalgiris Kaunas vs JonavaProjected total: 164 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Neptunas vs SiauliaiProjected total: 165 points · line 165.5Model backs
- Szczecin vs LublinProjected total: 168 points · line 169.5Model backs
- Zielona Gora vs Anwil WloclawekProjected total: 168 points · line 168Model backs
- Slask Wroclaw vs BydgoszczProjected total: 171 points · line 170.5Model backs
- Gdynia vs Gornik WalbrzychProjected total: 164 points · line 163.5Model backs
- Legia vs Ostrow WielkopolskiProjected total: 165 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Dziki Warszawa vs Czarni SlupskProjected total: 165 points · line 164.5Model backs
- Dabrowa Gornicza vs Trefl SopotProjected total: 169 points · line 169.5Model backs
- Brasilia vs PaulistanoProjected total: 150 points · line 154Model backs
- Pato vs BotafogoProjected total: 153 points · line 157Model backs
- Corinthians Paulista vs FrancaProjected total: 140 points · line 140.5Model backs
- Mogi vs UnifacisaProjected total: 140 points · line 140.5Model backs
Over/under: questions
- What does over/under mean in basketball?
- The bookmaker sets a line for the points both teams score together, for example 221.5. Over means the game finishes with more points than the line, under with fewer. Overtime counts.
- How is the projected total worked out?
- From each team's attack and defence ratings for this season, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, and from the pace the two teams play at. Where bookmakers price the game, the projection is blended with their line.
- Why can the model's total differ from the bookmakers' line?
- The bookmakers' line also reflects where the money is going. The model only looks at the teams, so when the two disagree by several points, that gap is the reason to look at the game more closely.
- What does the percentage next to the pick mean?
- It is how often the model expects that side to land: 60% means a game like this goes that way about six times in ten. Under 55% is close to a coin flip.
- Are these picks free?
- The winner, the win probability and the projected score of every game are free. The side the model backs on each line, with its probability, is part of the Starter and Pro plans, and three games a day are fully unlocked for everyone.