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Bayern vs Barcelona prediction

HomeBayern2–5, 16th in AwayBarcelona4–3, 9th in
Tip-off
45%55%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Barcelona to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
87–89
Margin
+2

Who will win Bayern vs Barcelona?

The numbers side with Barcelona (55%) on the road against Bayern, with 89–87 the most likely shape of the final score.

Bayern have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 90.0 and allowing 95.0 points a game over that stretch. Barcelona have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 91.0 and allowing 88.6 points a game over that stretch.

Bayern sit 16th at 2–5, while Barcelona sit 9th at 4–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Bayern rate -2.4 and Barcelona +0.3 points per game against an average side, a 2.8-point edge to Barcelona. Home court is worth about 2.1 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Barcelona at 56% across 6 bookmakers.

Barcelona to win (55%). Projected score: 89–87. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

BayernBefore tip-offBarcelona
  • 2–5Season record4–3
  • 0–3Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–1
  • 2–5Last 10 games4–3
  • L2Current streakW1
  • 87.4Points per game90.1
  • 94.1Points allowed per game88.4
  • −6.7Average margin+1.7
  • 4 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • 27.8Rebounds per game33.4
  • 20.8Assists per game19.6
  • 10.3Three-pointers made per game13.0
  • 61.3Bench points per game46.4
  • −2.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.3
  • +1.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.1
  • −3.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.7
  • +2.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Bayern−7.219.4–26.6−1.322.0–23.3+4.023.1–19.1−2.222.9–25.1
Barcelona+0.222.9–22.7−1.220.9–22.1+2.023.6–21.6+1.621.7–20.1

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Duane WashingtonGuard · BayernVST. MartinBarcelona

Leading scorers · averages over the last 4 games

  • 15.3Points12.2
  • 0.5Rebounds6.0
  • 3.0Assists1.6
  • 2.5Three-pointers made2.2
  • 20.8Minutes23.9

Team leaders

BayernThis seasonBarcelona

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (3 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Andreas ObstVSKevin Punter
PTS
10.5·10.2
REB
1.3·1.8
AST
3.3·3.2
Guards
Kamar BaldwinVSUmoja Gibson
PTS
6.3·10.0
REB
1.0·2.2
AST
2.0·3.4
Forwards
Johannes ThiemannVSTosan Evbuomwan
PTS
7.5·4.6
REB
4.5·3.2
AST
1.5·0.8
Centres
Austin WileyVSAleksander Balcerowski
PTS
6.3·4.6
REB
4.8·3.2
AST
1.0·1.0
Cross-matchup
MarJon BeauchampVST. Martin
PTS
7.3·12.2
REB
3.3·6.0
AST
1.8·1.6

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Bayern

Likely starting five

  1. Andreas Obst
    Guard · Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    10.5
  2. Austin Wiley
    Center · Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    6.3
  3. MarJon Beauchamp
    Forward · Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    7.3
  4. Kamar Baldwin
    Guard · Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    6.3
  5. Johannes Thiemann
    Forward · Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    7.5
Missed the last game
Away
Barcelona

Likely starting five

  1. Kevin Punter
    Guard · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    10.2
  2. T. Martin
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    12.2
  3. Aleksander Balcerowski
    Center · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    4.6
  4. Tosan Evbuomwan
    Forward · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    4.6
  5. Umoja Gibson
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
Missed the last game
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (19)

Recent form

Bayern

1–4

2–5, 16th in

Barcelona

3–2

4–3, 9th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day