Basketora

Baskonia vs Real Madrid prediction

HomeBaskonia1–6, 20th in AwayReal Madrid4–3, 7th in
Tip-off
27%73%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Real Madrid to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
87–93
Margin
+6

Who will win Baskonia vs Real Madrid?

Our model makes Real Madrid 73% favourites on the road against Baskonia and projects a 93–87 final.

Baskonia have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 81.2 and allowing 86.4 points a game over that stretch. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 101.2 and allowing 91.6 points a game over that stretch.

Baskonia sit 20th at 1–6, while Real Madrid sit 7th at 4–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Baskonia rate -3.5 and Real Madrid +2.4 points per game against an average side, a 5.9-point edge to Real Madrid. Home court is worth about 2.1 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Real Madrid at 76% across 5 bookmakers.

Real Madrid to win (73%). Projected score: 93–87.

Tale of the tape

BaskoniaBefore tip-offReal Madrid
  • 1–6Season record4–3
  • 1–3Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–3
  • 1–6Last 10 games4–3
  • L4Current streakW4
  • 83.3Points per game95.3
  • 92.7Points allowed per game90.0
  • −9.4Average margin+5.3
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 31.8Rebounds per game36.5
  • 20.0Assists per game23.3
  • 10.2Three-pointers made per game15.7
  • 45.4Bench points per game57.3
  • −3.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.4
  • −1.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+3.9
  • −1.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.5
  • +2.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 5 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Baskonia−4.920.1–25.0−0.221.4–21.6−5.519.1–24.6+1.022.6–21.6
Real Madrid−1.723.3–25.0+3.826.1–22.3+3.124.1–21.00.021.7–21.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

A.J. LawsonBaskoniaVSAndres FelizReal Madrid

Leading scorers · averages over the last 5 games

  • 10.6Points16.4
  • 2.8Rebounds3.8
  • 1.8Assists4.2
  • 2.2Three-pointers made3.2
  • 24.0Minutes19.5

Team leaders

BaskoniaThis seasonReal Madrid

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (3 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
Tadas SedekerskisVSAndres Feliz
PTS
9.6·16.4
REB
6.4·3.8
AST
0.6·4.2
Starters
K. FariedVSTheo Maledon
PTS
7.8·13.8
REB
4.8·3.8
AST
0.8·4.8
Starters
Rodions KurucsVSEdy Tavares
PTS
7.4·8.2
REB
3.0·5.6
AST
3.0·0.2
Starters
D. BaughVSChuma Okeke
PTS
7.2·7.0
REB
2.0·1.8
AST
5.6·1.3
Starters
D.J. StewartVSMikael Jantunen
PTS
6.8·6.4
REB
0.6·2.4
AST
0.6·1.2

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Baskonia

Likely starting five

  1. D.J. Stewart
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    6.8
  2. K. Faried
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    7.8
  3. Tadas Sedekerskis
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    9.6
  4. D. Baugh
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    7.2
  5. Rodions Kurucs
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    7.4
Missed the last game
Away
Real Madrid

Likely starting five

  1. Theo Maledon
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    13.8
  2. Edy Tavares
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    8.2
  3. Andres Feliz
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    16.4
  4. Mikael Jantunen
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    6.4
  5. Chuma Okeke
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    7.0
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (15)

Recent form

Baskonia

1–4

1–6, 20th in

Real Madrid

4–1

4–3, 7th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day