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Legia vs Ostrow Wielkopolski prediction

HomeLegia2–1, 4th in AwayOstrow Wielkopolski2–1, 7th in
Tip-off
55%45%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Legia to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–82
Margin
+1

Who will win Legia vs Ostrow Wielkopolski?

The numbers side with Legia (55%) at home against Ostrow Wielkopolski, with 83–82 the most likely shape of the final score.

Legia have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 79.7 and allowing 84.0 points a game over that stretch. Ostrow Wielkopolski have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 78.7 and allowing 81.3 points a game over that stretch.

Legia sit 4th at 2–1, while Ostrow Wielkopolski sit 7th at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Legia rate -0.9 and Ostrow Wielkopolski -0.6 points per game against an average side, a 0.4-point edge to Ostrow Wielkopolski. Home court is worth about 1.7 points in this competition.

Legia to win (55%). Projected score: 83–82. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

LegiaBefore tip-offOstrow Wielkopolski
  • 2–1Season record2–1
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–0
  • 2–1Last 10 games2–1
  • W1Current streakW1
  • 79.7Points per game78.7
  • 84.0Points allowed per game81.3
  • −4.3Average margin−2.6
  • 4 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 34.0Rebounds per game41.0
  • 15.0Assists per game18.5
  • 9.5Three-pointers made per game7.5
  • 19.0Bench points per game28.0
  • −0.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.6
  • −1.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.0
  • +0.1DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.4
  • +1.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Legia−1.020.3–21.3−1.321.0–22.3−4.015.0–19.0+2.023.3–21.3
Ostrow Wielkopolski+8.323.3–15.0−4.317.0–21.3−4.018.0–22.0−4.416.3–20.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

D. ArgusterLegiaVSJ. HunterOstrow Wielkopolski

Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games

  • 21.5Points16.0
  • 4.0Rebounds4.0
  • 5.0Assists7.0
  • 3.0Three-pointers made1.5
  • 31.6Minutes35.5

Team leaders

LegiaThis seasonOstrow Wielkopolski

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
D. ArgusterVSJ. Hunter
PTS
21.5·16.0
REB
4.0·4.0
AST
5.0·7.0
Starters
Kristers ZoriksVSKarl-Johan Lips
PTS
15.0·16.0
REB
0.5·7.0
AST
3.0·4.0
Starters
Z. FreemantleVSJ. Parzenski
PTS
14.0·8.5
REB
9.0·6.0
AST
2.0·1.0
Starters
Gyorgy GolomanVSDaniel Golebiowski
PTS
13.0·6.0
REB
6.5·4.5
AST
1.5·1.5
Starters
Wojciech TomaszewskiVST. Jones
PTS
1.5·5.0
REB
1.0·3.0
AST
0.0·0.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Legia

Likely starting five

  1. D. Arguster
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    21.5
  2. Kristers Zoriks
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    15.0
  3. Z. Freemantle
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    14.0
  4. Gyorgy Goloman
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    13.0
  5. Wojciech Tomaszewski
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    1.5
Away
Ostrow Wielkopolski

Likely starting five

  1. J. Hunter
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    16.0
  2. Karl-Johan Lips
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    16.0
  3. J. Parzenski
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    8.5
  4. Daniel Golebiowski
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    6.0
  5. T. Jones
    Started 1 of last 2
    PPG
    5.0
Full lineups and bench

Photo credits: Kristers Zoriks: FCBQ, Public domain; Gyorgy Goloman: FCBQ, Public domain; Michal Kolenda: Steffen Prößdorf, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Legia

2–1

2–1, 4th in

Ostrow Wielkopolski

2–1

2–1, 7th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day