Basketora

Trento vs Buducnost prediction

HomeTrento1–3, 7th in Group CAwayBuducnost2–2, 4th in Group C
Tip-off
55%45%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Trento to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
86–85
Margin
+1

Who will win Trento vs Buducnost?

Our model makes Trento 55% favourites at home against Buducnost and projects a 86–85 final.

Trento have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 79.0 and allowing 86.3 points a game over that stretch. Buducnost have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 90.8 and allowing 86.8 points a game over that stretch.

Trento sit 7th in the Group C at 1–3, while Buducnost sit 4th in the Group C at 2–2.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Trento at 57% across 2 bookmakers.

Trento to win (55%). Projected score: 86–85. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

TrentoBefore tip-offBuducnost
  • 1–3Season record2–2
  • 0–2Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 1–3Last 10 games2–2
  • L3Current streakW1
  • 79.0Points per game90.8
  • 86.3Points allowed per game86.8
  • −7.3Average margin+4.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game6 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days0
  • 35.2Rebounds per game34.0
  • 18.0Assists per game24.0
  • 11.7Three-pointers made per game14.0
  • 33.5Bench points per game40.5
  • −2.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.1
  • −1.6AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.8
  • −0.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.7
  • +3.6Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Trento+0.721.0–20.3−7.316.5–23.8+3.522.0–18.5−4.319.5–23.8
Buducnost+2.324.3–22.0−1.221.8–23.0−1.721.3–23.0+4.723.5–18.8

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

I. BigelowTrentoVSYogi FerrellBuducnost

Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games

  • 15.8Points19.5
  • 5.0Rebounds3.5
  • 1.0Assists5.5
  • 2.0Three-pointers made4.5
  • 23.5Minutes25.3

Team leaders

TrentoThis seasonBuducnost

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
Q. OlivariVSYogi Ferrell
PTS
14.6·19.5
REB
4.0·3.5
AST
1.4·5.5
Starters
Charlie BrownVSJustin Smith
PTS
12.4·14.5
REB
2.6·7.5
AST
2.2·1.5
Starters
D. BrownVSD. Jovanovic
PTS
10.0·12.5
REB
4.0·5.0
AST
8.4·2.0
Starters
Jordan BayeheVSOleksandr Kovliar
PTS
8.4·7.0
REB
5.0·3.0
AST
1.0·7.0
Starters
J. Medina BouzaVSJerry Boutsiele
PTS
5.3·4.5
REB
3.3·3.5
AST
0.0·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Trento

Likely starting five

  1. D. Brown
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
  2. Charlie Brown
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    12.4
  3. Q. Olivari
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    14.6
  4. J. Medina Bouza
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    5.3
  5. Jordan Bayehe
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    8.4
Away
Buducnost

Likely starting five

  1. Justin Smith
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    14.5
  2. Oleksandr Kovliar
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    7.0
  3. Jerry Boutsiele
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    4.5
  4. Yogi Ferrell
    Started 1 of last 2
    PPG
    19.5
  5. D. Jovanovic
    Started 1 of last 2
    PPG
    12.5
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (10)

Recent form

Trento

1–3

1–3, 7th in Group C

Buducnost

2–2

2–2, 4th in Group C

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day