Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers prediction
Our pick
Toss-upPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 118–119
- Margin
- +1
Last meeting
Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers?
The numbers side with Indiana Pacers (50%) on the road against Milwaukee Bucks, with 119–118 the most likely shape of the final score.
Milwaukee Bucks have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 117.8 and allowing 127.8 points a game over that stretch. Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 116.8 and allowing 120.4 points a game over that stretch.
Milwaukee Bucks sit 10th in the Eastern Conference at 2–3, while Indiana Pacers sit 12th in the Eastern Conference at 1–3.
On adjusted efficiency, Milwaukee Bucks rate -3.2 and Indiana Pacers -1.3 points per game against an average side, a 2-point edge to Indiana Pacers. Home court is worth about 1.9 points in this competition.
These teams have met 1 time recently (Milwaukee Bucks 1, Indiana Pacers 0); the latest finished Indiana Pacers 127–128 Milwaukee Bucks on 2026-10-16.
Indiana Pacers to win (50%). Projected score: 119–118. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Tale of the tape
- 0–3Season record1–1
- 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
- 0–3Last 10 games1–1
- L3Current streakL1
- 119.0Points per game114.0
- 129.0Points allowed per game120.5
- −10.0Average margin−6.5
- 1 dayRest before this gameBack-to-back
- 3Games in the last 7 days2
- 48.3Rebounds per game41.5
- 25.3Assists per game28.0
- 15.0Three-pointers made per game8.0
- 44.3Bench points per game34.5
- −3.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.3
- +0.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.2
- −3.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.1
- +1.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | +1.426.7–25.3 | −0.632.7–33.3 | −2.435.3–37.7 | −8.424.3–32.7 |
| Indiana Pacers | −5.032.5–37.5 | −17.017.0–34.0 | +8.031.5–23.5 | +7.533.0–25.5 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Key matchup
Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games
- 23.0Points26.5
- 4.3Rebounds5.5
- 5.3Assists2.0
- 3.3Three-pointers made2.0
- 30.9Minutes32.1
Team leaders
- Points · PPG
- Rebounds · RPG
- Assists · APG
- Three-pointers made · 3PM
Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.
Key battles
Player projectionsPro
Likely lineups
Likely starting five
- Tyler HerroGuard · Started 3 of last 3
- PPG
- 23.0
- RPG
- 4.3
- APG
- 5.3
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.Forward · Started 3 of last 3
- PPG
- 20.7
- RPG
- 8.3
- APG
- 3.7
- Kyle KuzmaForward · Started 3 of last 3
- PPG
- 11.0
- RPG
- 9.0
- APG
- 3.3
- Ryan RollinsGuard · Started 3 of last 3
- PPG
- 11.7
- RPG
- 5.7
- APG
- 4.0
- Myles TurnerCenter · Started 3 of last 3
- PPG
- 7.7
- RPG
- 4.3
- APG
- 1.3
- Ousmane Dieng4.0 PTS · 18.6 MIN
Likely starting five
- Andrew NembhardGuard · Started 2 of last 2
- PPG
- 17.0
- RPG
- 2.0
- APG
- 7.0
- Tyrese HaliburtonGuard · Started 2 of last 2
- PPG
- 20.5
- RPG
- 4.0
- APG
- 9.5
- Pascal SiakamForward · Started 2 of last 2
- PPG
- 26.5
- RPG
- 5.5
- APG
- 2.0
- Ivica ZubacCenter · Started 2 of last 2
- PPG
- 12.5
- RPG
- 12.5
- APG
- 1.0
- Jarace WalkerForward · Started 1 of last 2
- PPG
- 2.5
- RPG
- 3.5
- APG
- 1.5
Recent form
Milwaukee Bucks
1–42–3, 10th in Eastern Conference
- @ Philadelphia 76ers116–127
- vs Chicago Bulls125–132
- @ Washington Wizards116–128
- @ Indiana Pacers128–127
- vs Chicago Bulls104–125
Indiana Pacers
1–41–3, 12th in Eastern Conference
- vs Dallas Mavericks105–121
- @ New Orleans Pelicans123–120
- vs Milwaukee Bucks127–128
- @ Oklahoma City Thunder112–114
- vs Atlanta Hawks117–119
Head to head
- Indiana Pacers 127–128 Milwaukee Bucks
