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Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

HomeUtah Jazz3–1, 2nd in Western ConferenceAwayLos Angeles Lakers2–3, 11th in Western Conference
Tip-off
55%45%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Utah Jazz to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
114–113
Margin
+1

Who will win Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our model makes Utah Jazz 55% favourites at home against Los Angeles Lakers and projects a 114–113 final.

Utah Jazz have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 111.2 and allowing 112.4 points a game over that stretch. Los Angeles Lakers have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 106.8 and allowing 112.2 points a game over that stretch.

Utah Jazz sit 2nd in the Western Conference at 3–1, while Los Angeles Lakers sit 11th in the Western Conference at 2–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Utah Jazz rate -1.2 and Los Angeles Lakers +0.9 points per game against an average side, a 2.1-point edge to Los Angeles Lakers. Home court is worth about 3.9 points in this competition.

Utah Jazz to win (55%). Projected score: 114–113. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Utah JazzBefore tip-offLos Angeles Lakers
  • 0–1Season record1–0
  • 0–1Last 10 games1–0
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 103.0Points per game127.0
  • 123.0Points allowed per game105.0
  • −20.0Average margin+22.0
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 38.0Rebounds per game43.0
  • 25.0Assists per game28.0
  • 11.0Three-pointers made per game11.0
  • 34.0Bench points per game38.0
  • −1.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.9
  • −0.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.3
  • −0.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.6
  • +3.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Utah Jazz+2.031.0–29.0−15.020.0–35.0−6.028.0–34.0−1.024.0–25.0
Los Angeles Lakers+1.034.0–33.0+13.032.0–19.0+20.036.0–16.0−12.025.0–37.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Keyonte GeorgeGuard · Utah JazzVSLuka DoncicForward · Los Angeles Lakers

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 22.0Points28.0
  • 3.0Rebounds8.0
  • 5.0Assists7.0
  • 4.0Three-pointers made5.0
  • 28.6Minutes29.7

Team leaders

Utah JazzThis seasonLos Angeles Lakers

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Keyonte GeorgeVSAustin Reaves
PTS
22.0·23.0
REB
3.0·4.0
AST
5.0·6.0
Forwards
Lauri MarkkanenVSLuka Doncic
PTS
18.0·28.0
REB
9.0·8.0
AST
3.0·7.0
Forwards
Jaren JacksonVSZiaire Williams
PTS
15.0·9.0
REB
5.0·3.0
AST
2.0·4.0
Centres
Jaxson HayesVSWalker Kessler
PTS
5.0·26.0
REB
5.0·9.0
AST
3.0·1.0
Cross-matchup
D. PetersonVSMatisse Thybulle
PTS
9.0·3.0
REB
4.0·3.0
AST
3.0·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Utah Jazz

Likely starting five

  1. Lauri Markkanen
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    18.0
  2. D. Peterson
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    9.0
  3. Keyonte George
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    22.0
  4. Jaren Jackson
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    15.0
  5. Jaxson Hayes
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    5.0
Away
Los Angeles Lakers

Likely starting five

  1. Austin Reaves
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    23.0
  2. Walker Kessler
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    26.0
  3. Luka Doncic
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    28.0
  4. Ziaire Williams
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    9.0
  5. Matisse Thybulle
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    3.0
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (10)

Luka Doncic: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0; Walker Kessler: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0; Austin Reaves: Kevin, CC BY 2.0; Ziaire Williams: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0; Matisse Thybulle: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0; Quentin Grimes: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0; Sandro Mamukelashvili: Thomas Savoja, CC BY 2.0; Jake LaRavia: SneakinDeacon, CC BY-SA 2.0; Kevon Looney: Neon Tommy, CC BY-SA 2.0; Jaden Hardy: Clocked In TV, CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Utah Jazz

3–2

3–1, 2nd in Western Conference

Los Angeles Lakers

2–3

2–3, 11th in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day