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Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

HomePhiladelphia 76ers1–3, 13th in Eastern ConferenceAwayMilwaukee Bucks2–3, 10th in Eastern Conference
Tip-off
70%30%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Philadelphia 76ers to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
118–112
Margin
+6

Who will win Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our model makes Philadelphia 76ers 70% favourites at home against Milwaukee Bucks and projects a 118–112 final.

Philadelphia 76ers have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 110.8 and allowing 117.8 points a game over that stretch. Milwaukee Bucks have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 112.6 and allowing 123.4 points a game over that stretch.

Philadelphia 76ers sit 13th in the Eastern Conference at 1–3, while Milwaukee Bucks sit 10th in the Eastern Conference at 2–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Philadelphia 76ers rate +0.4 and Milwaukee Bucks -2.7 points per game against an average side, a 3.1-point edge to Philadelphia 76ers. Home court is worth about 3.7 points in this competition.

Philadelphia 76ers to win (70%). Projected score: 118–112.

Tale of the tape

Philadelphia 76ersBefore tip-offMilwaukee Bucks
  • 2–0Season record0–2
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 2–0Last 10 games0–2
  • W2Current streakL2
  • 110.0Points per game120.5
  • 103.0Points allowed per game130.0
  • +7.0Average margin−9.5
  • 1 dayRest before this gameBack-to-back
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • 44.5Rebounds per game41.5
  • 26.0Assists per game28.0
  • 9.0Three-pointers made per game17.0
  • 16.0Bench points per game40.0
  • +0.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−2.7
  • −0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.5
  • +1.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−3.2
  • +3.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Philadelphia 76ers−9.520.5–30.0−4.529.0–33.5+13.533.0–19.5+7.527.5–20.0
Milwaukee Bucks+6.527.5–21.0−3.531.5–35.0−0.539.5–40.0−12.022.0–34.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Tyrese MaxeyGuard · Philadelphia 76ersVSTyler HerroGuard · Milwaukee Bucks

Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games

  • 30.0Points28.0
  • 3.5Rebounds3.5
  • 5.5Assists6.5
  • 2.0Three-pointers made4.5
  • 40.6Minutes30.6

Team leaders

Philadelphia 76ersThis seasonMilwaukee Bucks

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Tyrese MaxeyVSTyler Herro
PTS
30.0·28.0
REB
3.5·3.5
AST
5.5·6.5
Guards
Jaylen BrownVSRyan Rollins
PTS
20.0·10.0
REB
8.0·6.5
AST
5.0·4.5
Forwards
LeBron JamesVSJaime Jaquez Jr.
PTS
15.5·20.5
REB
9.5·8.5
AST
6.0·3.5
Centres
Joel EmbiidVSMyles Turner
PTS
18.5·11.5
REB
9.0·4.0
AST
3.5·1.5
Cross-matchup
J. V. EdgecombeVSKyle Kuzma
PTS
10.0·9.5
REB
5.5·7.5
AST
3.5·3.5

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Philadelphia 76ers

Likely starting five

  1. Tyrese Maxey
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    30.0
  2. Jaylen Brown
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    20.0
  3. J. V. Edgecombe
    Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    10.0
  4. Joel Embiid
    Center · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    18.5
  5. LeBron James
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    15.5
Away
Milwaukee Bucks

Likely starting five

  1. Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    20.5
  2. Tyler Herro
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    28.0
  3. Myles Turner
    Center · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    11.5
  4. Kyle Kuzma
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    9.5
  5. Ryan Rollins
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    10.0
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (9)

Tyrese Maxey: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0; LeBron James: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0; Jaylen Brown: Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Joel Embiid: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0; Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: File:Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Bradley Beal.jpg : Keith Allison derivative work: Chrishmt0423, CC BY-SA 3.0; Anfernee Simons: Frenchieinportland, CC BY-SA 4.0; Adem Bona: Zafer, CC BY 4.0; Jabari Walker: Sintegrity, CC BY-SA 4.0; B. Burries: MGoBlog, CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Philadelphia 76ers

2–3

1–3, 13th in Eastern Conference

Milwaukee Bucks

1–4

2–3, 10th in Eastern Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day