Seoul Knights vs Mobis Phoebus prediction

HomeSeoul Knights6–5, 4th in AwayMobis Phoebus4–10, 10th in

Tip-offMon, Nov 16, 10:00 AM UTC

71%29%

Win probability

Our pick

Lean

Seoul Knights to win

Prediction updated Sat, Nov 14, 01:16 PM UTC

Predicted score: 86–80
Margin: +6

Who will win Seoul Knights vs Mobis Phoebus?

Seoul Knights are the pick at 71% to beat Mobis Phoebus, with a projected score of 86–80.

Seoul Knights return home sitting 3rd at 6–4, while Mobis Phoebus arrive at 10th with a 3–10 record. Neither side is in good form: both have won 1 of their last 5. The difference is in how they have lost, and the table reflects it.

Over that five-game stretch, Seoul Knights have scored 75.6 and allowed 81.2 points a game. Mobis Phoebus have put up 77.2 but conceded 86.0, the looser defence of the two. That gap on the defensive end is where the home side's edge starts.

Adjusted efficiency sharpens the picture. Seoul Knights rate +0.1 points per game against an average side, Mobis Phoebus -2.9, a 3-point edge to Seoul Knights before home court is counted. Home court is worth about 2.5 points in this competition, which pushes the gap wider and explains why the model makes Seoul Knights a clear favourite.

The head-to-head record and the market both lean the same way, and the 71% win probability for Seoul Knights is consistent with a game that should be controlled at home. Mobis Phoebus have a case only if their scoring holds up and their defence tightens; on the numbers so far, that is a lot to ask.

Seoul Knights to win at 71%, with a projected score of 86–80.

Tale of the tape

Seoul KnightsBefore tip-offMobis Phoebus

6–5Season record4–10
5–2Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–3
6–4Last 10 games3–7
L2Current streakW1
82.3Points per game82.9
81.5Points allowed per game87.7
+0.8Average margin−4.8
1 dayRest before this game1 day
2Games in the last 7 days2
33.3Rebounds per game29.9
19.3Assists per game17.6
7.9Three-pointers made per game10.3
49.6Bench points per game48.3
+0.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.0
−2.1AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.8
+2.1DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.1
+2.5Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 8 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Seoul Knights	−5.117.8–22.9	+3.424.3–20.9	+6.622.8–16.2	−3.417.5–20.9
Mobis Phoebus	−0.721.0–21.7	−1.720.3–22.0	−2.420.2–22.6	−1.119.9–21.0