LG Sakers vs Mobis Phoebus result
Next meeting: Dec 12. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 89–83
- Margin
- +6
- Result
- 78–79
Last meeting
Our lines
Who will win LG Sakers vs Mobis Phoebus?
LG Sakers are the pick at 71%, with a projected score of 89–83.
LG Sakers carry the better recent form into this home game, having won 3 of their last 5 while scoring 93.6 and allowing 90.4 points a game over that stretch. Mobis Phoebus have managed just 1 win in their last 5, scoring 80.6 and allowing 88.2. That gap in form lines up with the table, where LG Sakers sit 5th at 6–7 and Mobis Phoebus sit 10th at 3–10.
The efficiency numbers point the same way. LG Sakers rate +0.4 against an average side, while Mobis Phoebus rate -3.4, a 3.8-point edge to the home team before home court is even counted. Home court is worth about 2.7 points in this competition, which pushes the advantage further toward LG Sakers.
The one recent meeting went LG Sakers' way, 88–83 at Mobis Phoebus on 2026-10-22, and the head-to-head record reads LG Sakers 1, Mobis Phoebus 0. That result sits close to the 89–83 projected score, which suggests a similar margin rather than a blowout. The market is not far from the model: once the bookmaker margin is removed, 8 bookmakers price LG Sakers at 70%, against the model's 71%.
Mobis Phoebus will need to tighten a defence that has allowed 88.2 points a game over their last 5, and their 80.6 scoring average leaves little room to trade baskets with a team averaging 93.6. The case for the visitors rests on the spread being large enough to matter rather than on any form or efficiency edge. LG Sakers' combination of form, table position and efficiency makes them the clear favourite.
With a projected score of 89–83, LG Sakers -6.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, so the handicap is close to a coin flip and the model does not lean either way. The projected 173.2 points sits above the 171.5 line, and the over lands 52%, a slight edge to the over. The spread is the tighter of the two calls; the total offers the marginally stronger case.
LG Sakers to win (71%), with a projected score of 89–83.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | LG Sakers | 74% | 70% | 71% | 1.41 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Mobis Phoebus | 26% | 30% | 29% | 3.47 |
| Point spread | LG Sakers -6.5 | 50% | 48% | 49% | 2.04 |
| Point spread | Mobis Phoebus +6.5 | 50% | 52% | 51% | 1.96 |
| Total points | Over 171.5 | 55% | 50% | 52% | 1.92 |
| Total points | Under 171.5 | 45% | 50% | 48% | 2.09 |
| 1st half spread | LG Sakers -2.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.93 |
| 1st half spread | Mobis Phoebus +2.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.07 |
| 1st half total points | Over 87.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.93 |
| 1st half total points | Under 87.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.07 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 6–7Season record3–10
- 2–2Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–3
- 4–6Last 10 games3–7
- W1Current streakL4
- 87.5Points per game83.2
- 88.0Points allowed per game88.5
- −0.5Average margin−5.3
- 2 daysRest before this game3 days
- 3Games in the last 7 days2
- 35.1Rebounds per game30.6
- 20.1Assists per game18.6
- 12.3Three-pointers made per game10.3
- 55.4Bench points per game52.1
- +0.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.4
- +1.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.8
- −0.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.6
- +2.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 7 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Sakers | +2.422.8–20.4 | −0.523.2–23.7 | −2.220.5–22.7 | −1.720.2–21.9 |
| Mobis Phoebus | −0.122.0–22.1 | −1.620.5–22.1 | −1.420.9–22.3 | −1.920.0–21.9 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Top performers
Leading scorers in this game
- 18.0Points27.0
- 4.0Rebounds10.0
- 3.0Assists2.0
- 3.0Three-pointers made5.0
- 32.4Minutes38.5
Game leaders
- Points
- Rebounds
- Assists
- Three-pointers made
Key battles
Photo credits (2)
- Omari Spellman · Ken Jancef, CC BY 2.0
- Assem Marei · Sakhalinio, CC BY-SA 4.0
Recent form
LG Sakers
3–26–8, 7th in
- vs Seoul Knights101–72
- vs KCC Egis74–84
- vs Goyang Sono86–85
- vs Wonju DB98–104
- @ Goyang Sono109–107
Mobis Phoebus
1–44–10, 10th in
- vs Goyang Sono79–86
- vs Anyang JungKwanJang85–91
- vs Seoul Thunders76–81
- @ KoGas67–94
- vs KCC Egis96–89
Head to head
- Mobis Phoebus 83–88 LG Sakers
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