Basketora

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors prediction

HomeMinnesota Timberwolves3–3, 9th in Western ConferenceAwayToronto Raptors2–3, 9th in Eastern Conference
Tip-off
54%46%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Minnesota Timberwolves to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
114–112
Margin
+2

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors?

Our model makes Minnesota Timberwolves 54% favourites at home against Toronto Raptors and projects a 114–112 final.

Minnesota Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 118.0 and allowing 112.8 points a game over that stretch. Toronto Raptors have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 128.0 and allowing 108.6 points a game over that stretch.

Minnesota Timberwolves sit 9th in the Western Conference at 3–3, while Toronto Raptors sit 9th in the Eastern Conference at 2–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Minnesota Timberwolves rate +3.9 and Toronto Raptors +5 points per game against an average side, a 1.1-point edge to Toronto Raptors. Home court is worth about 2.3 points in this competition.

Minnesota Timberwolves to win (54%). Projected score: 114–112. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Minnesota TimberwolvesBefore tip-offToronto Raptors
  • 2–0Season record2–0
  • 0–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 2–0Last 10 games2–0
  • W2Current streakW2
  • 123.0Points per game123.5
  • 99.5Points allowed per game97.0
  • +23.5Average margin+26.5
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • 55.5Rebounds per game51.5
  • 25.5Assists per game28.0
  • 17.5Three-pointers made per game8.5
  • 38.5Bench points per game35.0
  • +3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+5.0
  • +1.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.5
  • +2.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.5
  • +2.3Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 2 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Minnesota Timberwolves+4.030.0–26.0+7.033.0–26.0+11.029.5–18.5+1.530.5–29.0
Toronto Raptors+16.538.5–22.00.026.0–26.0+1.527.5–26.0+8.531.5–23.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Anthony EdwardsGuard · Minnesota TimberwolvesVSScott BarnesGuard · Toronto Raptors

Leading scorers · averages over the last 2 games

  • 30.0Points25.5
  • 7.0Rebounds10.0
  • 3.0Assists5.0
  • 5.5Three-pointers made1.0
  • 33.3Minutes31.3

Team leaders

Minnesota TimberwolvesThis seasonToronto Raptors

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (2 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Anthony EdwardsVSScott Barnes
PTS
30.0·25.5
REB
7.0·10.0
AST
3.0·5.0
Guards
LaMelo BallVSImmanuel Quickley
PTS
16.5·17.5
REB
3.5·2.5
AST
5.5·6.5
Forwards
Jaden McDanielsVSR.J. Barrett
PTS
16.0·21.5
REB
7.0·6.5
AST
2.0·3.5
Forwards
Jonathan KumingaVSKawhi Leonard
PTS
11.5·19.5
REB
5.0·7.0
AST
4.0·1.5
Centres
Rudy GobertVSJakob Poeltl
PTS
9.5·4.5
REB
12.0·7.5
AST
1.0·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Minnesota Timberwolves

Likely starting five

  1. Anthony Edwards
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    30.0
  2. Rudy Gobert
    Center · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    9.5
  3. Jaden McDaniels
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    16.0
  4. Jonathan Kuminga
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    11.5
  5. LaMelo Ball
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    16.5
Away
Toronto Raptors

Likely starting five

  1. Scott Barnes
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    25.5
  2. R.J. Barrett
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    21.5
  3. Immanuel Quickley
    Guard · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    17.5
  4. Kawhi Leonard
    Forward · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    19.5
  5. Jakob Poeltl
    Center · Started 2 of last 2
    PPG
    4.5
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages

Recent form

Minnesota Timberwolves

3–2

3–3, 9th in Western Conference

Toronto Raptors

3–2

2–3, 9th in Eastern Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day