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Venezia vs Treviso prediction

HomeVenezia3–1, 5th in AwayTreviso3–1, 4th in
Tip-off
68%32%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Venezia to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
92–87
Margin
+5

Who will win Venezia vs Treviso?

Our model makes Venezia 68% favourites at home against Treviso and projects a 92–87 final.

Venezia have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 90.5 and allowing 86.5 points a game over that stretch. Treviso have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 95.3 and allowing 94.0 points a game over that stretch.

Venezia sit 5th at 3–1, while Treviso sit 4th at 3–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Venezia rate +1.4 and Treviso +0.6 points per game against an average side, a 0.7-point edge to Venezia. Home court is worth about 2.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Venezia at 69% across 9 bookmakers.

Venezia to win (68%). Projected score: 92–87.

Tale of the tape

VeneziaBefore tip-offTreviso
  • 3–1Season record3–1
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 3–1Last 10 games3–1
  • W1Current streakW1
  • 90.5Points per game95.3
  • 86.5Points allowed per game94.0
  • +4.0Average margin+1.3
  • 3 daysRest before this game6 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days0
  • 33.6Rebounds per game31.3
  • 17.4Assists per game13.3
  • 10.0Three-pointers made per game7.3
  • 32.9Bench points per game29.3
  • +1.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.6
  • +0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.5
  • +0.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.9
  • +2.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 3 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Venezia+3.523.8–20.3−2.021.0–23.0+2.822.3–19.5−0.323.5–23.8
Treviso+1.825.8–24.0−0.222.8–23.0+1.523.5–22.0−1.723.3–25.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Kyle WiltjerVeneziaVSDeWayne RussellGuard · Treviso

Leading scorers · averages over the last 3 games

  • 16.0Points20.7
  • 3.8Rebounds4.0
  • 1.0Assists3.7
  • 1.0Three-pointers made2.3
  • 20.2Minutes30.0

Team leaders

VeneziaThis seasonTreviso

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (3 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Glynn WatsonVSDeWayne Russell
PTS
13.0·20.7
REB
3.0·4.0
AST
2.8·3.7
Starters
Kyle WiltjerVSJ. P. Macura
PTS
16.0·18.3
REB
3.8·3.3
AST
1.0·1.3
Starters
Jordan ParksVSI. Anigbogu
PTS
11.4·5.7
REB
3.0·3.7
AST
0.8·1.0
Starters
Amedeo TessitoriVSF. Miaschi
PTS
10.0·2.7
REB
7.4·1.3
AST
1.8·0.0
Cross-matchup
Ky BowmanVSBrekkott Chapman
PTS
5.4·10.3
REB
1.8·6.3
AST
2.2·2.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Venezia

Likely starting five

  1. Jordan Parks
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    11.4
  2. Glynn Watson
    Guard · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    13.0
  3. Amedeo Tessitori
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
  4. Kyle Wiltjer
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    16.0
  5. Ky Bowman
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    5.4
Away
Treviso

Likely starting five

  1. DeWayne Russell
    Guard · Started 3 of last 3
    PPG
    20.7
  2. Brekkott Chapman
    Forward · Started 3 of last 3
    PPG
    10.3
  3. J. P. Macura
    Started 3 of last 3
    PPG
    18.3
  4. I. Anigbogu
    Started 3 of last 3
    PPG
    5.7
  5. F. Miaschi
    Started 1 of last 3
    PPG
    2.7
Missed the last game
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (12)

Recent form

Venezia

3–1

3–1, 5th in

Treviso

3–1

3–1, 4th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day