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Neptunas vs Siauliai prediction

HomeNeptunas3–3, 5th in AwaySiauliai3–3, 4th in
Tip-off
63%37%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Neptunas to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–81
Margin
+3

Who will win Neptunas vs Siauliai?

The numbers side with Neptunas (63%) at home against Siauliai, with 84–81 the most likely shape of the final score.

Neptunas have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 85.4 and allowing 80.4 points a game over that stretch. Siauliai have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 83.6 and allowing 81.4 points a game over that stretch.

Neptunas sit 5th at 3–3, while Siauliai sit 4th at 3–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Neptunas rate +0.5 and Siauliai +0.5 points per game against an average side, a 0-point edge to Neptunas. Home court is worth about 3.3 points in this competition.

Neptunas to win (63%). Projected score: 84–81.

Tale of the tape

NeptunasBefore tip-offSiauliai
  • 3–3Season record3–3
  • 2–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–2
  • 3–3Last 10 games3–3
  • W1Current streakL1
  • 82.7Points per game82.8
  • 82.5Points allowed per game82.8
  • +0.2Average margin0.0
  • 4 daysRest before this game4 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 32.5Rebounds per game29.8
  • 15.8Assists per game17.8
  • 7.8Three-pointers made per game8.3
  • 26.0Bench points per game36.7
  • +0.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.5
  • −0.1AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.1
  • +0.7DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.5
  • +3.3Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Neptunas+6.524.2–17.7+2.320.8–18.5−1.320.7–22.0−7.317.0–24.3
Siauliai+3.623.3–19.7−4.119.7–23.8−2.221.0–23.2+2.618.8–16.2

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Yannick FrankeNeptunasVSCedric HendersonSiauliai

Leading scorers · averages over the last 4 games

  • 17.8Points13.0
  • 2.8Rebounds2.5
  • 3.0Assists1.5
  • 3.0Three-pointers made2.0
  • 29.9Minutes24.3

Team leaders

NeptunasThis seasonSiauliai

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
Yannick FrankeVSMartynas Pacevicius
PTS
17.8·11.8
REB
2.8·6.8
AST
3.0·0.8
Starters
Henri DrellVSSimas Jarumbauskas
PTS
16.5·11.4
REB
5.3·3.0
AST
1.8·0.8
Starters
Elvar FridrikssonVSD. McKnight
PTS
15.5·10.0
REB
3.3·3.0
AST
5.8·4.6
Starters
Martynas EchodasVSTauras Jogela
PTS
9.5·5.6
REB
4.8·3.8
AST
0.8·0.8
Starters
E. TubutisVSKarolis Lukosiunas
PTS
6.0·4.6
REB
8.0·0.4
AST
0.5·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Neptunas

Likely starting five

  1. Yannick Franke
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    17.8
  2. Elvar Fridriksson
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    15.5
  3. Martynas Echodas
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    9.5
  4. Henri Drell
    Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    16.5
  5. E. Tubutis
    Started 2 of last 4
    PPG
    6.0
Away
Siauliai

Likely starting five

  1. D. McKnight
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
  2. Martynas Pacevicius
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    11.8
  3. Karolis Lukosiunas
    Started 4 of last 5
    PPG
    4.6
  4. Simas Jarumbauskas
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    11.4
  5. Tauras Jogela
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    5.6
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages

Photo credits: Yannick Franke: Zafer, CC BY 4.0; Martynas Echodas: Augustas Didžgalvis, CC BY-SA 4.0; Henri Drell: Basketinside il basket a 360° from Italia, CC BY 2.0; Donatas Tarolis: Augustas Didžgalvis, CC BY-SA 4.0; Mindaugas Girdziunas: Augustas Didžgalvis, CC BY-SA 4.0; Kristupas Zemaitis: Augustas Didžgalvis, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Neptunas

3–2

3–3, 5th in

Siauliai

3–2

3–3, 4th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day