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Forca Lleida vs Real Madrid prediction

HomeForca Lleida1–3, 14th in AwayReal Madrid4–0, 1st in
Tip-off
44%56%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Real Madrid to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
96–97
Margin
+1

Who will win Forca Lleida vs Real Madrid?

Our model makes Real Madrid 56% favourites on the road against Forca Lleida and projects a 97–96 final.

Forca Lleida have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 93.3 and allowing 98.5 points a game over that stretch. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 4, scoring 110.5 and allowing 90.3 points a game over that stretch.

Forca Lleida sit 14th at 1–3, while Real Madrid sit 1st at 4–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Forca Lleida rate -0.7 and Real Madrid +5.3 points per game against an average side, a 6-point edge to Real Madrid. Home court is worth about 4.5 points in this competition.

Real Madrid to win (56%). Projected score: 97–96. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Forca LleidaBefore tip-offReal Madrid
  • 1–3Season record4–0
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 1–3Last 10 games4–0
  • L3Current streakW4
  • 93.3Points per game110.5
  • 98.5Points allowed per game90.3
  • −5.2Average margin+20.2
  • 6 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 0Games in the last 7 days1
  • 36.0Rebounds per game35.2
  • 19.0Assists per game23.2
  • 9.0Three-pointers made per game16.2
  • 27.0Bench points per game55.8
  • −0.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+5.3
  • +0.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+5.0
  • −1.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.3
  • +4.5Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Forca Lleida+1.722.5–20.8−7.721.8–29.5+1.821.8–20.0−1.027.3–28.3
Real Madrid+9.028.8–19.8+6.327.3–21.0+0.322.8–22.5+3.028.0–25.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

M. SanzForca LleidaVSAndres FelizReal Madrid

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 18.0Points16.4
  • 5.0Rebounds3.8
  • 0.0Assists4.2
  • 2.0Three-pointers made3.2
  • 26.5Minutes19.5

Team leaders

Forca LleidaThis seasonReal Madrid

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Starters
M. SanzVSAndres Feliz
PTS
18.0·16.4
REB
5.0·3.8
AST
0.0·4.2
Starters
Mark HughesVSTheo Maledon
PTS
17.0·13.8
REB
4.0·3.8
AST
2.0·4.8
Starters
Z. PerrinVSEdy Tavares
PTS
17.0·8.2
REB
11.0·5.6
AST
2.0·0.2
Starters
Jame BatemonVSChuma Okeke
PTS
16.0·7.0
REB
1.0·1.8
AST
5.0·1.3
Starters
Dani GarciaVSMikael Jantunen
PTS
3.0·6.4
REB
2.0·2.4
AST
4.0·1.2

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Forca Lleida

Likely starting five

  1. Jame Batemon
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    16.0
  2. Mark Hughes
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    17.0
  3. M. Sanz
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    18.0
  4. Z. Perrin
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    17.0
  5. Dani Garcia
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    3.0
Away
Real Madrid

Likely starting five

  1. Theo Maledon
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    13.8
  2. Edy Tavares
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    8.2
  3. Andres Feliz
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    16.4
  4. Mikael Jantunen
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    6.4
  5. Chuma Okeke
    Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    7.0
Full lineups and bench
Photo credits (13)

Andres Feliz: FCBQ, Public domain; Sergio Llull: Cristina Ruiz - unniks.com, CC BY-SA 4.0; Facundo Campazzo: FCBQ, Public domain; Melvin Ejim: Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0; D. McGhee: Cotton Puryear, Public domain; K. Kuath: FCBQ, Public domain; Theo Maledon: Yannick - L'oeil du nord from Boulogne sur mer, CC BY 2.0; Edy Tavares: Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0; Mikael Jantunen: Zafer, CC BY 4.0; Chuma Okeke: Gamecock Central, CC BY 2.0; Alberto Abalde: Sakhalinio, CC BY-SA 4.0; Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot: C P, CC BY 2.0; Damian Jones: Dennis Adair, CC BY-SA 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Forca Lleida

1–3

1–3, 14th in

Real Madrid

4–0

4–0, 1st in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day