USANBA prediction accuracy
Live record, last 30 days
82%
9/11
Strong100%2/2
Lean100%3/3
Toss-up67%4/6
Results
- FinalLos Angeles Clippers121Sacramento Kings96Los Angeles Clippers63%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalLos Angeles Lakers127Golden State Warriors105Los Angeles Lakers62%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalPortland Trail Blazers124Phoenix Suns83Portland Trail Blazers58%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalHouston Rockets128Dallas Mavericks110Houston Rockets72%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalNew Orleans Pelicans120Indiana Pacers123Indiana Pacers54%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalMemphis Grizzlies123Utah Jazz103Memphis Grizzlies55%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalBrooklyn Nets103Charlotte Hornets110Charlotte Hornets51%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalMiami Heat106Minnesota Timberwolves131Miami Heat54%Pick missedPick missed
- FinalToronto Raptors135Chicago Bulls92Toronto Raptors72%Pick landedPick landed
- FinalOrlando Magic125Atlanta Hawks132Orlando Magic55%Pick missedPick missed
- FinalWashington Wizards128Milwaukee Bucks116Washington Wizards62%Pick landedPick landed
Tested on a full season
| Competition · 2025–26 | Games | Winners called | Always home team | Better record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 1,315 | 68.8% | 55.6% | 66.8% |
Walk-forward: every game predicted using only the games played before it, the model alone (no bookmaker prices). “Always home team” and “better record” are the simple rules the model has to beat.