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Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

HomeOrlando Magic3–1, 4th in Eastern ConferenceAwayMinnesota Timberwolves3–3, 9th in Western Conference
Tip-off
53%47%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Orlando Magic to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
117–116
Margin
+1

Who will win Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our model makes Orlando Magic 53% favourites at home against Minnesota Timberwolves and projects a 117–116 final.

Orlando Magic have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 124.0 and allowing 120.0 points a game over that stretch. Minnesota Timberwolves have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 120.0 and allowing 119.0 points a game over that stretch.

Orlando Magic sit 4th in the Eastern Conference at 3–1, while Minnesota Timberwolves sit 9th in the Western Conference at 3–3.

On adjusted efficiency, Orlando Magic rate -0.3 and Minnesota Timberwolves +2.4 points per game against an average side, a 2.7-point edge to Minnesota Timberwolves. Home court is worth about 3.7 points in this competition.

Orlando Magic to win (53%). Projected score: 117–116. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Orlando MagicBefore tip-offMinnesota Timberwolves
  • 0–1Season record1–0
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
  • 0–1Last 10 games1–0
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 125.0Points per game131.0
  • 132.0Points allowed per game106.0
  • −7.0Average margin+25.0
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • 39.0Rebounds per game52.0
  • 30.0Assists per game19.0
  • 13.0Three-pointers made per game21.0
  • 22.0Bench points per game31.0
  • −0.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.4
  • +1.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.7
  • −1.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.7
  • +3.7Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Orlando Magic+5.033.0–28.0−15.029.0–44.0+11.038.0–27.0−8.025.0–33.0
Minnesota Timberwolves+2.034.0–32.0+8.035.0–27.0+8.030.0–22.0+7.032.0–25.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Paolo BancheroForward · Orlando MagicVSAnthony EdwardsGuard · Minnesota Timberwolves

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 35.0Points45.0
  • 7.0Rebounds10.0
  • 10.0Assists3.0
  • 3.0Three-pointers made9.0
  • 41.2Minutes33.4

Team leaders

Orlando MagicThis seasonMinnesota Timberwolves

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Desmond BaneVSAnthony Edwards
PTS
18.0·45.0
REB
5.0·10.0
AST
2.0·3.0
Guards
Jalen SuggsVSLaMelo Ball
PTS
6.0·21.0
REB
3.0·2.0
AST
5.0·6.0
Forwards
Paolo BancheroVSJaden McDaniels
PTS
35.0·17.0
REB
7.0·8.0
AST
10.0·0.0
Forwards
Franz WagnerVSJonathan Kuminga
PTS
22.0·12.0
REB
6.0·1.0
AST
5.0·3.0
Centres
Wendell CarterVSRudy Gobert
PTS
22.0·5.0
REB
7.0·15.0
AST
0.0·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Orlando Magic

Likely starting five

  1. Paolo Banchero
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    35.0
  2. Desmond Bane
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    18.0
  3. Jalen Suggs
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    6.0
  4. Wendell Carter
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    22.0
  5. Franz Wagner
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    22.0
Away
Minnesota Timberwolves

Likely starting five

  1. Anthony Edwards
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    45.0
  2. Rudy Gobert
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    5.0
  3. Jonathan Kuminga
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    12.0
  4. Jaden McDaniels
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    17.0
  5. LaMelo Ball
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    21.0
Full lineups and bench

Recent form

Orlando Magic

3–2

3–1, 4th in Eastern Conference

Minnesota Timberwolves

3–2

3–3, 9th in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day