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Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

HomeUtah Jazz3–1, 2nd in Western ConferenceAwayNew Orleans Pelicans3–1, 3rd in Western Conference
Tip-off
56%44%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Utah Jazz to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
118–116
Margin
+2

Who will win Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?

The numbers side with Utah Jazz (56%) at home against New Orleans Pelicans, with 118–116 the most likely shape of the final score.

Utah Jazz have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 111.2 and allowing 112.4 points a game over that stretch. New Orleans Pelicans have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 112.4 and allowing 112.8 points a game over that stretch.

Utah Jazz sit 2nd in the Western Conference at 3–1, while New Orleans Pelicans sit 3rd in the Western Conference at 3–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Utah Jazz rate -1.2 and New Orleans Pelicans -0.5 points per game against an average side, a 0.8-point edge to New Orleans Pelicans. Home court is worth about 3.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Utah Jazz at 55% across 3 bookmakers.

Utah Jazz to win (56%). Projected score: 118–116. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

Utah JazzBefore tip-offNew Orleans Pelicans
  • 0–1Season record0–1
  • 0–1Last 10 games0–1
  • L1Current streakL1
  • 103.0Points per game120.0
  • 123.0Points allowed per game123.0
  • −20.0Average margin−3.0
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1
  • 38.0Rebounds per game50.0
  • 25.0Assists per game23.0
  • 11.0Three-pointers made per game10.0
  • 34.0Bench points per game43.0
  • −1.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.5
  • −0.8AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.1
  • −0.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.5
  • +3.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Utah Jazz+2.031.0–29.0−15.020.0–35.0−6.028.0–34.0−1.024.0–25.0
New Orleans Pelicans−7.031.0–38.0+17.035.0–18.0−4.026.0–30.0−9.028.0–37.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Keyonte GeorgeGuard · Utah JazzVSDejounte MurrayGuard · New Orleans Pelicans

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 22.0Points23.0
  • 3.0Rebounds3.0
  • 5.0Assists7.0
  • 4.0Three-pointers made2.0
  • 28.6Minutes34.4

Team leaders

Utah JazzThis seasonNew Orleans Pelicans

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Keyonte GeorgeVSDejounte Murray
PTS
22.0·23.0
REB
3.0·3.0
AST
5.0·7.0
Forwards
Lauri MarkkanenVSZion Williamson
PTS
18.0·22.0
REB
9.0·4.0
AST
3.0·3.0
Forwards
Jaren JacksonVSTrey Murphy
PTS
15.0·11.0
REB
5.0·4.0
AST
2.0·1.0
Starters
D. PetersonVSY. Missi
PTS
9.0·13.0
REB
4.0·14.0
AST
3.0·5.0
Cross-matchup
Jaxson HayesVSJ. Fears
PTS
5.0·8.0
REB
5.0·3.0
AST
3.0·1.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Utah Jazz

Likely starting five

  1. Lauri Markkanen
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    18.0
  2. D. Peterson
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    9.0
  3. Keyonte George
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    22.0
  4. Jaren Jackson
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    15.0
  5. Jaxson Hayes
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    5.0
Away
New Orleans Pelicans

Likely starting five

  1. Dejounte Murray
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    23.0
  2. Zion Williamson
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    22.0
  3. Trey Murphy
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    11.0
  4. Y. Missi
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    13.0
  5. J. Fears
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    8.0
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages

Photo credits: D. Queen: Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

Utah Jazz

3–2

3–1, 2nd in Western Conference

New Orleans Pelicans

3–2

3–1, 3rd in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day