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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets prediction

HomeSan Antonio Spurs2–3, 10th in Western ConferenceAwayHouston Rockets2–1, 5th in Western Conference
Tip-off
53%47%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
San Antonio Spurs to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
115–114
Margin
+1

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets?

The numbers side with San Antonio Spurs (53%) at home against Houston Rockets, with 115–114 the most likely shape of the final score.

San Antonio Spurs have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 112.0 and allowing 107.4 points a game over that stretch. Houston Rockets have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 123.5 and allowing 112.0 points a game over that stretch.

San Antonio Spurs sit 10th in the Western Conference at 2–3, while Houston Rockets sit 5th in the Western Conference at 2–1.

On adjusted efficiency, San Antonio Spurs rate -1.1 and Houston Rockets +1.7 points per game against an average side, a 2.8-point edge to Houston Rockets. Home court is worth about 3.9 points in this competition.

San Antonio Spurs to win (53%). Projected score: 115–114. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

San Antonio SpursBefore tip-offHouston Rockets
  • 0–1Season record1–0
  • 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 0–1Last 10 games1–0
  • L1Current streakW1
  • 104.0Points per game128.0
  • 116.0Points allowed per game110.0
  • −12.0Average margin+18.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 45.0Rebounds per game42.0
  • 21.0Assists per game32.0
  • 10.0Three-pointers made per game16.0
  • 29.0Bench points per game23.0
  • −1.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.7
  • −0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.5
  • −0.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.2
  • +3.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 1 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
San Antonio Spurs−6.028.0–34.0−15.016.0–31.0+8.036.0–28.0+1.024.0–23.0
Houston Rockets+6.032.0–26.0+26.038.0–12.0−8.030.0–38.0−6.028.0–34.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Stephon CastleGuard · San Antonio SpursVSKevin DurantForward · Houston Rockets

Leading scorers · averages over the last 1 games

  • 24.0Points30.0
  • 7.0Rebounds6.0
  • 1.0Assists3.0
  • 5.0Three-pointers made2.0
  • 28.4Minutes37.4

Team leaders

San Antonio SpursThis seasonHouston Rockets

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (1 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Stephon CastleVSFred VanVleet
PTS
24.0·6.0
REB
7.0·2.0
AST
1.0·11.0
Forwards
Devin VassellVSKevin Durant
PTS
7.0·30.0
REB
3.0·6.0
AST
1.0·3.0
Centres
Victor WembanyamaVSAlperen Sengun
PTS
12.0·23.0
REB
13.0·10.0
AST
3.0·5.0
Cross-matchup
D. HarperVSJabari Smith Jr.
PTS
18.0·30.0
REB
7.0·5.0
AST
5.0·1.0
Cross-matchup
De'Aaron FoxVSAmen Thompson
PTS
14.0·16.0
REB
7.0·10.0
AST
7.0·4.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
San Antonio Spurs

Likely starting five

  1. Victor Wembanyama
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    12.0
  2. De'Aaron Fox
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    14.0
  3. D. Harper
    Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    18.0
  4. Devin Vassell
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    7.0
  5. Stephon Castle
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    24.0
Away
Houston Rockets

Likely starting five

  1. Kevin Durant
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    30.0
  2. Jabari Smith Jr.
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    30.0
  3. Amen Thompson
    Forward · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    16.0
  4. Alperen Sengun
    Center · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    23.0
  5. Fred VanVleet
    Guard · Started 1 of last 1
    PPG
    6.0
Full lineups and bench
Photo credits (9)

Stephon Castle: The White House, Public domain; Victor Wembanyama: Thomas S, CC BY-SA 2.0; De'Aaron Fox: Bandai Namco Entertainment America, CC BY 3.0; Devin Vassell: Photo by Jacob Gralton, CC BY-SA 2.0; Julian Champagnie: Frenchieinportland, CC BY 4.0; Keldon Johnson: FOX Sports, CC BY 3.0; Luke Kornet: Rikster2, CC BY-SA 4.0; Harrison Barnes: Frenchieinportland, CC BY-SA 4.0; J. Gillespie: MGoBlog, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Recent form

San Antonio Spurs

2–3

2–3, 10th in Western Conference

Houston Rockets

3–1

2–1, 5th in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day