Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction
Our pick
Toss-upPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 114–115
- Margin
- +1
Our lines
Who will win Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks?
Our model makes Atlanta Hawks 50% favourites on the road against Charlotte Hornets and projects a 115–114 final.
Charlotte Hornets have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 96.5 and allowing 111.0 points a game over that stretch. Atlanta Hawks have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 122.6 and allowing 117.2 points a game over that stretch.
Charlotte Hornets sit 14th in the Eastern Conference at 1–3, while Atlanta Hawks sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference at 4–1.
On adjusted efficiency, Charlotte Hornets rate -1.4 and Atlanta Hawks +0.7 points per game against an average side, a 2.1-point edge to Atlanta Hawks. Home court is worth about 2.1 points in this competition.
Our own lines for this game: Atlanta Hawks -0.5 on the spread and 227.5 total points (227.9 projected).
Atlanta Hawks to win (50%). Projected score: 115–114. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Charlotte Hornets | 50% | – | 50% | 2.00 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Atlanta Hawks | 50% | – | 50% | 2.00 |
| Point spread | Charlotte Hornets +0.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.94 |
| Point spread | Atlanta Hawks -0.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.06 |
| Total points | Over 227.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.96 |
| Total points | Under 227.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.04 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- –Points per game–
- –Points allowed per game–
- –Average margin–
- 1 dayRest before this game1 day
- 1Games in the last 7 days1
- −1.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.7
- −1.8AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.0
- +0.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.3
- +2.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Recent form
Charlotte Hornets
1–31–3, 14th in Eastern Conference
- @ Memphis Grizzlies98–116
- @ Boston Celtics93–114
- vs Milwaukee Bucks105–90
- vs Brooklyn Nets90–124
Atlanta Hawks
4–14–1, 2nd in Eastern Conference
- @ Dallas Mavericks135–111
- vs Oklahoma City Thunder113–110
- @ Indiana Pacers119–117
- @ San Antonio Spurs123–116
- vs Memphis Grizzlies123–132
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.