NBA Results for Sunday 25 October
Road squads dictated the terms on Sunday 25 October, taking three of the five matchups on the schedule while hosts managed just two victories. The projection model tracked the action with a 3-of-5 performance on straight-up picks, headlined by San Antonio Spurs delivering the day's most lopsided margin via a 16-point triumph against Dallas Mavericks.
High-scoring entertainment peaked in the Mile High City, where Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans generated a slate-topping 276 combined points. On the other end of the drama spectrum, Washington Wizards held off Chicago Bulls by a slim four-point gap to claim the day's tightest contest.
NBA scores
| Game | Score | Our pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards | 120–124 | Chicago Bulls to win (52%) | Wrong |
| Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs | 106–122 | San Antonio Spurs to win (70%) | Right |
| Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 141–135 | Denver Nuggets to win (72%) | Right |
| Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets | 114–121 | Atlanta Hawks to win (56%) | Wrong |
| Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors | 131–122 | Phoenix Suns to win (67%) | Right |
Washington Wizards 124–120 Chicago Bulls
A staggering third-quarter surge propelled Washington Wizards to a 124–120 road victory at the expense of Chicago Bulls. The visiting side went into the intermission facing a 57–62 deficit, but completely altered the game's direction by dominating the third period 40–20.
Leading the charge for the visitors, Trae Young produced 25 points alongside 9 assists. That effort counterbalanced a massive double-double from Chicago Bulls standout C. Wilson, who finished with 30 points and 14 rebounds.
The computer leaned toward the hosts, projecting a 120–119 victory for Chicago Bulls with a 52% probability, making the final outcome an incorrect pick. Chicago Bulls failed to cover their -1.5 spread, while the 244-point aggregate fell barely below the projected 244.5 total.
Following the result, Washington Wizards sit 8th in the Eastern Conference with an even 2–2 record, whereas Chicago Bulls dropped to 6th at 3–2. Both squads turn around immediately on Mon 26 Oct, with Chicago Bulls away at Boston Celtics and Washington Wizards traveling away at Charlotte Hornets.
Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards: full box score and prediction
San Antonio Spurs 122–106 Dallas Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs flexed their muscles down the stretch to pull away for a 122–106 road triumph over Dallas Mavericks. Holding an eight-point edge at half-time with the score at 68–60, the visitors slammed the door by outscoring the hosts 30–17 throughout the fourth quarter.
Primary playmaking honors went to Stephon Castle, who paced San Antonio Spurs with 19 points and 8 assists. On the other side, Sergio De Larrea stood out in defeat for Dallas Mavericks by notching a team-high 21 points.
Our model anticipated a 118–112 win for San Antonio Spurs at 70%, correctly nailing the outright victor. Dallas Mavericks failed to stay within the +12.5 spread, and the collective 228 points stayed beneath the 230.5 projection line.
The victory lifts San Antonio Spurs to 10th in the Western Conference at 2–3, while 1–3 Dallas Mavericks occupy the 12th slot. Dallas Mavericks prepare to go away at Miami Heat on Mon 26 Oct, while San Antonio Spurs take a break before hosting home to Sacramento Kings on Wed 28 Oct.
Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs: full box score and prediction
Denver Nuggets 141–135 New Orleans Pelicans
A furious final-quarter rally allowed Denver Nuggets to protect home court in a wild 141–135 win against New Orleans Pelicans. Faced with a steep 57–73 hole when walking off the floor at half-time, Denver Nuggets engineered a complete turnaround thanks to a dominant 37–18 final frame.
A dazzling 42-point, 6-assist display from Jamal Murray carried the home team across the finish line. New Orleans Pelicans were spearheaded by Trey Murphy, who supplied 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists.
Backing Denver Nuggets at 72% via a predicted 121–113 scoreline yielded a winning pick on the moneyline. However, Denver Nuggets could not cover the -11.5 spread, and the offensive fireworks easily eclipsed the 238.5 total line as the teams racked up 276 points.
In the Western Conference standings, Denver Nuggets improved to 3–2 for 8th place, while New Orleans Pelicans slipped to 3–1 in 3rd. Denver Nuggets are scheduled to play home to Golden State Warriors on Tue 27 Oct, and New Orleans Pelicans will seek revenge home to Denver Nuggets on Thu 29 Oct.
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: full box score and prediction
Houston Rockets 121–114 Atlanta Hawks
Houston Rockets controlled the tempo early to secure a 121–114 road result against Atlanta Hawks. Taking charge before the break with a 29–22 second quarter, the visitors constructed a 59–48 half-time cushion that sustained them through the finish.
Veteran scoring from Kevin Durant set the standard for Houston Rockets with 22 points. Atlanta Hawks mounted their resistance behind Jalen Johnson, who submitted an exceptional line of 26 points, 16 assists, and 9 rebounds.
Pre-game calculations favoured Atlanta Hawks at 56% to win 115–114, resulting in a missed pick for the model. Atlanta Hawks could not beat the -1.5 spread, and the final tally of 235 points pushed above the 228.5 projection threshold.
Now sitting 5th in the West, Houston Rockets hold a 2–1 mark, whereas 4–1 Atlanta Hawks remain 2nd in the Eastern Conference. The two teams will immediately clash again on Tue 27 Oct, with Atlanta Hawks traveling away at Houston Rockets and Houston Rockets playing home to Atlanta Hawks.
Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets: full box score and prediction
Phoenix Suns 131–122 Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns used a relentless offensive showcase to outgun Golden State Warriors 131–122 in front of their home crowd. After taking a tight 57–54 advantage into the break, Phoenix Suns established separation during an explosive third quarter by edging their opponents 45–38.
An electric performance by Devin Booker led all scorers, as he piled up 43 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists. For Golden State Warriors, Y. Lendeborg provided steady resistance with 26 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists.
Backing Phoenix Suns at 67% with an expected 114–108 victory proved accurate straight up. Phoenix Suns fell short of covering the -9.5 spread, while the combined 253 points sailed past the 221.5 game total.
Despite the win, Phoenix Suns are 13th in the Western Conference at 1–4, while Golden State Warriors hold 4th position with a 4–2 record. Both clubs play on Tue 27 Oct: Phoenix Suns go away at Oklahoma City Thunder, and Golden State Warriors travel away at Denver Nuggets.
Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors: full box score and prediction
How the model did
Across the five-game schedule on Sunday 25 October, the projection system correctly selected 3 winners. Home teams endured a blank against the spread, covering in 0 of 5 matchups, while the total went over in 3 of the 5 contests. Overall this season, the model has forecasted 23 of 33 NBA winners correctly, good for 70%. Every graded pick is public.
NBA standings after Sunday 25 October
| # | Team | Group | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Celtics | Eastern Conference | 4 | 0 |
| 2 | Atlanta Hawks | Eastern Conference | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | Memphis Grizzlies | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Utah Jazz | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans | Western Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | Brooklyn Nets | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Orlando Magic | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons | Eastern Conference | 3 | 1 |
Next NBA games
- Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers, Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 UTC. Pick: Los Angeles Lakers to win
- Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers, Sun 25 Oct, 22:00 UTC. Pick: Indiana Pacers to win
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers, Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder to win
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors, Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves to win
- New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic, Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: New York Knicks to win
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons, Sun 25 Oct, 23:30 UTC. Pick: Philadelphia 76ers to win
- Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies, Mon 26 Oct, 01:00 UTC. Pick: Memphis Grizzlies to win
- Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards, Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Washington Wizards to win
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves, Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 UTC. Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves to win
- Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls, Mon 26 Oct, 23:30 UTC. Pick: Boston Celtics to win
- Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks, Mon 26 Oct, 23:30 UTC. Pick: Miami Heat to win
- Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers, Tue 27 Oct, 00:00 UTC. Pick: Indiana Pacers to win
More on the NBA predictions page. 18+ only; see responsible gambling.