Basketora

Shimane vs Toyama result

HomeShimane0–0, 8th in Western ConferenceAwayToyama0–0, 2nd in Eastern Conference
108–75Final
64%36%
Win probability
Shimane vs Toyama: player stats and box scoreBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Our pick

Pick landed
Shimane to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–81
Margin
+4
Result
108–75

Last meeting

Toyama82–79Shimane

Our lines

Point spread
+5.5Toyama to cover · 54%
Total points
167.5Under · 53% · projected 165.3
Fair odds
1.56Shimane · Toyama 2.79

Who will win Shimane vs Toyama?

Shimane are the pick at home against Toyama: a 64% win chance and a projected 85–81 score.

Shimane have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 81.0 and allowing 81.2 points a game over that stretch. Toyama have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 81.2 and allowing 85.2 points a game over that stretch.

Shimane sit 8th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Toyama sit 2nd in the Eastern Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Shimane rate -0.1 and Toyama -1.1 points per game against an average side, a 1-point edge to Shimane. Home court is worth about 0.9 points in this competition.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Shimane 0, Toyama 1); the latest finished Toyama 82–79 Shimane on 2026-10-24.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Shimane at 67% across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Shimane -5.5 covers 46% of the time on our numbers, and the under 167.5 lands 53% against a projected 165.3 points.

Shimane to win (64%). Projected score: 85–81.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Shimane56%67%64%1.56
Winner (incl. overtime)Toyama44%33%36%2.79
Point spreadShimane -5.538%51%46%2.19
Point spreadToyama +5.562%49%54%1.84
Total pointsOver 167.545%49%47%2.11
Total pointsUnder 167.555%51%53%1.90

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ShimaneBefore tip-offToyama
  • 4–8Season record8–6
  • 2–5Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road6–1
  • 2–8Last 10 games6–4
  • L4Current streakL1
  • 81.2Points per game83.4
  • 82.8Points allowed per game86.2
  • −1.6Average margin−2.8
  • 7 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 0Games in the last 7 days1
  • 31.8Rebounds per game35.9
  • 18.0Assists per game20.7
  • 11.2Three-pointers made per game7.3
  • 10.0Bench points per game30.6
  • −0.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.1
  • −1.3AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.0
  • +1.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.2
  • +0.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 5 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Shimane−3.219.1–22.3−3.219.4–22.6+1.020.8–19.8+0.320.7–20.4
Toyama−2.919.3–22.2+1.622.4–20.8−1.820.4–22.2+0.220.2–20.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Top performers

Y. OkadaShimaneVSD. WillisToyama

Leading scorers in this game

  • 30.0Points20.0
  • 2.0Rebounds12.0
  • 9.0Assists1.0
  • 2.0Three-pointers made0.0
  • 30.5Minutes26.9

Game leaders

ShimaneThis gameToyama

Key battles

Shimane vs Toyama: player stats and box scoreLineups: who played

Recent form

Shimane

1–4

0–0, 8th in Western Conference

Toyama

3–2

0–0, 2nd in Eastern Conference

Head to head

  • Toyama 82–79 Shimane

Other games that day