Diamond Dolphins vs Tokyo Sunrockers result
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 88–82
- Margin
- +6
- Result
- 73–105
Last meeting
Our lines
Who will win Diamond Dolphins vs Tokyo Sunrockers?
Our model makes Diamond Dolphins 70% favourites at home against Tokyo Sunrockers and projects a 88–82 final.
Diamond Dolphins have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 94.0 and allowing 78.8 points a game over that stretch. Tokyo Sunrockers have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 87.4 and allowing 83.0 points a game over that stretch.
On adjusted efficiency, Diamond Dolphins rate +8.6 and Tokyo Sunrockers +5.3 points per game against an average side, a 3.2-point edge to Diamond Dolphins. Home court is worth about 1.4 points in this competition.
These teams have met 1 time recently (Diamond Dolphins 1, Tokyo Sunrockers 0); the latest finished Tokyo Sunrockers 85–96 Diamond Dolphins on 2026-10-25.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Diamond Dolphins at 72% across 9 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Diamond Dolphins -6.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the under 171.5 lands 52% against a projected 170.3 points.
Diamond Dolphins to win (70%). Projected score: 88–82.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Diamond Dolphins | 65% | 72% | 70% | 1.44 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Tokyo Sunrockers | 35% | 28% | 30% | 3.30 |
| Point spread | Diamond Dolphins -6.5 | 44% | 52% | 49% | 2.06 |
| Point spread | Tokyo Sunrockers +6.5 | 56% | 48% | 51% | 1.95 |
| Total points | Over 171.5 | 47% | 49% | 48% | 2.08 |
| Total points | Under 171.5 | 53% | 51% | 52% | 1.92 |
| 1st half spread | Diamond Dolphins -3.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.10 |
| 1st half spread | Tokyo Sunrockers +3.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.91 |
| 1st half total points | Over 85.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.95 |
| 1st half total points | Under 85.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.05 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 12–1Season record11–6
- 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road6–2
- 9–1Last 10 games7–3
- W1Current streakL1
- 92.6Points per game89.9
- 76.7Points allowed per game80.3
- +15.9Average margin+9.6
- 1 dayRest before this game2 days
- 2Games in the last 7 days2
- 33.6Rebounds per game36.4
- 22.6Assists per game25.2
- 10.9Three-pointers made per game9.1
- 41.5Bench points per game50.8
- +8.6Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+5.3
- +4.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.6
- +3.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.7
- +1.4Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 8 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamond Dolphins | +4.923.9–19.0 | +2.323.0–20.7 | +4.024.2–20.2 | +4.122.5–18.4 |
| Tokyo Sunrockers | +4.525.4–20.9 | +2.822.6–19.8 | +2.722.4–19.7 | +1.721.2–19.5 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Top performers
Leading scorers in this game
- 18.0Points17.0
- 6.0Rebounds7.0
- 1.0Assists4.0
- 1.0Three-pointers made1.0
- 30.1Minutes22.6
Game leaders
- Points
- Rebounds
- Assists
- Three-pointers made
Key battles
Photo credits (7)
- J. Hawkinson · 内閣官房内閣広報室, CC BY 4.0
- T. Saito · Shuhei S from Tokyo, Japan, CC BY 2.0
- T. Nakahigashi · User:STB-1, CC BY-SA 3.0
- Rawle Alkins · Sandro Halank , Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
- D. Tanaka · ウィ貴公子, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Ryan Luther · AlexanderJonesi, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Donte Grantham · ウィ貴公子, CC BY-SA 4.0
Recent form
Head to head
- Tokyo Sunrockers 85–96 Diamond Dolphins
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