Yokohama vs Brave Thunders prediction

HomeYokohama0–0, 9th in Eastern Conference AwayBrave Thunders0–0, 7th in Eastern Conference

Tip-offMon, Nov 16, 10:05 AM UTC

51%49%

Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up

Yokohama to win

Prediction updated Sat, Nov 14, 10:10 AM UTC

Predicted score: 81–80
Margin: +1

Last meeting

Nov 1

Brave Thunders66–77Yokohama

Our pick: Brave Thunders 59%Pick missed

Who will win Yokohama vs Brave Thunders?

Yokohama are the pick at 51% to beat Brave Thunders, with a projected score of 81–80.

This is about as tight as a game gets, and the model gives Yokohama a 51% chance of winning at home. The projected score of 81–80 fits that reading: a one-point margin that could swing either way. The lean toward Yokohama is real but thin, so it should be treated with care rather than as a firm call.

Recent form is not flattering for either side. Yokohama have won 2 of their last 5 while scoring 75.2 and allowing 78.2 points a game over that stretch. Brave Thunders have won just 1 of their last 5, scoring 76.2 and allowing 82.0. Both teams sit at 0–0 in the Eastern Conference, with Brave Thunders 7th and Yokohama 9th, so the table offers little separation either.

Adjusted efficiency points slightly the other way. Yokohama rate -4.4 and Brave Thunders -3.4 points per game against an average side, a 1-point edge to Brave Thunders. Home court is worth about 1.2 points in this competition, which is enough to tilt the balance back toward Yokohama but not enough to make them a comfortable favourite. The head-to-head record is more decisive: these teams have met 2 times recently and Yokohama have won both, the latest finishing Brave Thunders 66–77 Yokohama on 2026-11-01.

The market sees this as a near coin flip, and the numbers explain why. Yokohama's home advantage and perfect recent record against Brave Thunders offset a slightly worse efficiency rating. Brave Thunders have a case through that efficiency edge and a marginally better conference position, but their recent defensive numbers, allowing 82.0 points a game, are the weakest figure in this matchup. The model's 51% for Yokohama is a lean, not a conviction.

Yokohama to win at 51%, with a projected score of 81–80.

Tale of the tape

YokohamaBefore tip-offBrave Thunders

7–10Season record5–12
3–5Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road3–3
3–7Last 10 games3–7
L3Current streakW1
78.3Points per game79.2
83.8Points allowed per game83.9
−5.5Average margin−4.7
1 dayRest before this game2 days
2Games in the last 7 days3
29.2Rebounds per game37.4
19.0Assists per game20.5
8.0Three-pointers made per game8.2
32.7Bench points per game43.8
−4.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.4
−4.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−3.5
+0.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.1
+1.2Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 9 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Yokohama	−1.020.6–21.6	−2.318.2–20.5	−2.419.2–21.6	−4.118.3–22.4
Brave Thunders	−1.719.8–21.5	+2.121.4–19.3	−3.218.3–21.5	+0.419.5–19.1