Basketora

Shimane vs Utsunomiya Brex result

HomeShimane0–0, 8th in Western ConferenceAwayUtsunomiya Brex0–0, 4th in Eastern Conference
83–69Final
55%45%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Shimane to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
83–82
Margin
+1
Result
83–69

Our lines

Point spread
−1.5Shimane to cover · 53%
Total points
164.5Over · 51% · projected 166.2
Fair odds
1.81Shimane · Utsunomiya Brex 2.24

Who will win Shimane vs Utsunomiya Brex?

Our model makes Shimane 55% favourites at home against Utsunomiya Brex and projects a 83–82 final.

Shimane have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 88.0 and allowing 81.0 points a game over that stretch. Utsunomiya Brex have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 84.6 and allowing 88.8 points a game over that stretch.

Shimane sit 8th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Utsunomiya Brex sit 4th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Shimane rate +1.6 and Utsunomiya Brex -0.5 points per game against an average side, a 2.1-point edge to Shimane. Home court is worth about 1.2 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Shimane at 53% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Shimane -1.5 covers 53% of the time on our numbers, and the over 164.5 lands 51% against a projected 166.2 points.

Shimane to win (55%). Projected score: 83–82. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Shimane61%53%55%1.81
Winner (incl. overtime)Utsunomiya Brex39%47%45%2.24
Point spreadShimane -1.556%51%53%1.89
Point spreadUtsunomiya Brex +1.544%49%47%2.12
Total pointsOver 164.554%49%51%1.95
Total pointsUnder 164.546%51%49%2.05
1st half spreadShimane -0.552%–52%1.94
1st half spreadUtsunomiya Brex +0.548%–48%2.06
1st half total pointsOver 83.548%–48%2.08
1st half total pointsUnder 83.552%–52%1.93

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ShimaneBefore tip-offUtsunomiya Brex
  • 6–9Season record7–8
  • 3–6Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–4
  • 3–7Last 10 games4–6
  • L1Current streakW2
  • 83.5Points per game81.9
  • 81.9Points allowed per game83.6
  • +1.6Average margin−1.7
  • 1 dayRest before this game3 days
  • 3Games in the last 7 days1
  • 31.6Rebounds per game33.9
  • 20.6Assists per game21.8
  • 12.0Three-pointers made per game11.4
  • 33.1Bench points per game45.9
  • +1.6Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.5
  • −0.3AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.8
  • +1.9DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.4
  • +1.2Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 8 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Shimane−0.620.5–21.1+0.822.7–21.9+0.919.8–18.9−0.920.1–21.0
Utsunomiya Brex+0.119.6–19.5−1.319.1–20.4−1.820.1–21.9−2.820.3–23.1

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Shimane

2–3

0–0, 8th in Western Conference

Utsunomiya Brex

2–3

0–0, 4th in Eastern Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day