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Akita vs Osaka result

HomeAkita0–0, 8th in Eastern ConferenceAwayOsaka0–0, 3rd in Western Conference
82–76Final
83%17%
Win probability
Akita vs Osaka: player stats and box scoreBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Next meeting: Feb 3. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Pick landed
Akita to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
92–80
Margin
+12
Result
82–76

Our lines

Point spread
+14.5Osaka to cover · 57%
Total points
172.5Under · 51% · projected 171.4
Fair odds
1.21Akita · Osaka 5.80

Who will win Akita vs Osaka?

The numbers side with Akita (83%) at home against Osaka, with 92–80 the most likely shape of the final score.

Akita have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 94.8 and allowing 106.2 points a game over that stretch. Osaka have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 71.8 and allowing 95.6 points a game over that stretch.

Akita sit 8th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0, while Osaka sit 3rd in the Western Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Akita rate -4 and Osaka -12 points per game against an average side, a 8-point edge to Akita. Home court is worth about 1.2 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Akita at 85% across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Akita -14.5 covers 43% of the time on our numbers, and the under 172.5 lands 51% against a projected 171.3 points.

Akita to win (83%). Projected score: 92–80.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Akita78%85%83%1.21
Winner (incl. overtime)Osaka22%15%17%5.80
Point spreadAkita -14.533%49%43%2.34
Point spreadOsaka +14.567%51%57%1.75
Total pointsOver 172.547%50%49%2.04
Total pointsUnder 172.553%50%51%1.96
1st half spreadAkita -5.550%–50%1.98
1st half spreadOsaka +5.550%–50%2.02
1st half total pointsOver 86.550%–50%2.00
1st half total pointsUnder 86.550%–50%2.00

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

AkitaBefore tip-offOsaka
  • 4–13Season record1–15
  • 2–6Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–8
  • 1–9Last 10 games0–10
  • L7Current streakL15
  • 83.4Points per game70.1
  • 91.5Points allowed per game90.9
  • −8.1Average margin−20.8
  • 1 dayRest before this game2 days
  • 3Games in the last 7 days2
  • 29.4Rebounds per game28.8
  • 20.3Assists per game16.3
  • 12.0Three-pointers made per game10.0
  • 49.1Bench points per game43.4
  • −4.0Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−12.0
  • +0.8AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−8.0
  • −4.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−4.0
  • +1.2Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 8 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Akita−1.623.1–24.7−3.321.5–24.8−1.522.0–23.5−2.621.7–24.3
Osaka−7.218.2–25.4−7.715.8–23.5−7.916.3–24.2−1.919.9–21.8

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Top performers

M. SmithAkitaVSM. KinoshitaOsaka

Leading scorers in this game

  • 23.0Points27.0
  • 11.0Rebounds2.0
  • 3.0Assists1.0
  • 3.0Three-pointers made5.0
  • 32.3Minutes33.0

Game leaders

AkitaThis gameOsaka

Key battles

Starters
M. SmithVSM. Kinoshita
PTS
23·27
REB
11·2
AST
3·1
Starters
Yannick WetzellVSK. Takahashi
PTS
10·15
REB
8·7
AST
5·5
Starters
T. NakayamaVSH. Maki
PTS
10·13
REB
1·2
AST
0·1
Starters
R. AkahoVSV. Gerun
PTS
6·6
REB
3·15
AST
0·3
Starters
T. MurphyVSC. Maduabum
PTS
2·3
REB
4·4
AST
2·1
Akita vs Osaka: player stats and box scoreLineups: who played
Photo credits (1)

Recent form

Akita

0–5

0–0, 8th in Eastern Conference

Osaka

0–5

0–0, 3rd in Western Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day