Brave Thunders vs Shimane result
Our pick
Pick landedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 79–84
- Margin
- +5
- Result
- 74–95
Last meeting
Our lines
Who will win Brave Thunders vs Shimane?
The numbers side with Shimane (65%) on the road against Brave Thunders, with 84–79 the most likely shape of the final score.
Brave Thunders have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 74.8 and allowing 81.4 points a game over that stretch. Shimane have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 86.6 and allowing 82.4 points a game over that stretch.
Brave Thunders sit 7th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0, while Shimane sit 8th in the Western Conference at 0–0.
On adjusted efficiency, Brave Thunders rate -3.2 and Shimane +1.4 points per game against an average side, a 4.7-point edge to Shimane. Home court is worth about 0.9 points in this competition.
These teams have met 1 time recently (Brave Thunders 0, Shimane 1); the latest finished Shimane 80–69 Brave Thunders on 2026-10-19.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Shimane at 66% across 9 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Shimane -5.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the over 161.5 lands 52% against a projected 163.7 points.
Shimane to win (65%). Projected score: 84–79.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Brave Thunders | 38% | 34% | 35% | 2.88 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Shimane | 62% | 66% | 65% | 1.53 |
| Point spread | Brave Thunders +5.5 | 56% | 48% | 51% | 1.94 |
| Point spread | Shimane -5.5 | 44% | 52% | 49% | 2.06 |
| Total points | Over 161.5 | 55% | 50% | 52% | 1.92 |
| Total points | Under 161.5 | 45% | 50% | 48% | 2.09 |
| 1st half spread | Brave Thunders +2.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.96 |
| 1st half spread | Shimane -2.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.04 |
| 1st half total points | Over 81.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 1.98 |
| 1st half total points | Under 81.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 2.02 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 4–11Season record5–8
- 1–8Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–3
- 2–8Last 10 games3–7
- L4Current streakW1
- 78.8Points per game83.2
- 84.0Points allowed per game82.2
- −5.2Average margin+1.0
- 1 dayRest before this game1 day
- 2Games in the last 7 days1
- 38.3Rebounds per game32.7
- 20.0Assists per game19.7
- 7.9Three-pointers made per game11.8
- 40.8Bench points per game26.3
- −3.2Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.4
- −3.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.2
- +0.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.6
- +0.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 6 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brave Thunders | −0.519.8–20.3 | +1.321.1–19.8 | −4.517.1–21.6 | −0.420.2–20.6 |
| Shimane | −2.619.0–21.6 | −0.321.6–21.9 | +1.621.4–19.8 | +0.721.5–20.8 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Top performers
Leading scorers in this game
- 20.0Points20.0
- 5.0Rebounds1.0
- 5.0Assists1.0
- 2.0Three-pointers made4.0
- 28.1Minutes29.3
Game leaders
- Points
- Rebounds
- Assists
- Three-pointers made
Key battles
Recent form
Brave Thunders
1–40–0, 7th in Eastern Conference
- vs Altiri Chiba76–85
- @ Shiga75–81
- vs Yokohama66–77
- vs Yokohama65–75
- @ Utsunomiya Brex92–89
Shimane
1–40–0, 8th in Western Conference
- vs Toyama108–75
- vs Hiroshima D.73–74
- vs Hiroshima D.88–95
- vs Sendai85–86
- @ Toyama79–82
Head to head
- Shimane 80–69 Brave Thunders
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