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Shinshu vs Ibaraki Robots result

HomeShinshu0–0, 9th in Western ConferenceAwayIbaraki Robots0–0, 12th in Eastern Conference
Tip-off
51%49%
Win probability

Next meeting: Feb 3. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Toss-up
Shinshu to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–84
Margin
+1

Our lines

Point spread
+2.5Ibaraki Robots to cover · 57%
Total points
167.5Over · 51% · projected 166.8
Fair odds
1.97Shinshu · Ibaraki Robots 2.03

Who will win Shinshu vs Ibaraki Robots?

The numbers side with Shinshu (51%) at home against Ibaraki Robots, with 85–84 the most likely shape of the final score.

Shinshu have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 81.6 and allowing 81.8 points a game over that stretch. Ibaraki Robots have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 84.8 and allowing 83.4 points a game over that stretch.

Shinshu sit 9th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Ibaraki Robots sit 12th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Shinshu rate -1.5 and Ibaraki Robots +2.7 points per game against an average side, a 4.3-point edge to Ibaraki Robots. Home court is worth about 1.2 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Shinshu at 55% across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Shinshu -2.5 covers 43% of the time on our numbers, and the over 167.5 lands 51% against a projected 166.8 points.

Shinshu to win (51%). Projected score: 85–84. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Shinshu40%55%51%1.97
Winner (incl. overtime)Ibaraki Robots60%45%49%2.03
Point spreadShinshu -2.532%50%43%2.34
Point spreadIbaraki Robots +2.568%50%57%1.74
Total pointsOver 167.548%53%51%1.96
Total pointsUnder 167.552%47%49%2.05
1st half spreadShinshu -0.548%–48%2.08
1st half spreadIbaraki Robots +0.552%–52%1.92
1st half total pointsOver 84.550%–50%2.00
1st half total pointsUnder 84.550%–50%2.00

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ShinshuBefore tip-offIbaraki Robots
  • 6–11Season record9–9
  • 4–5Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road5–3
  • 4–6Last 10 games8–2
  • L2Current streakL1
  • 83.9Points per game83.7
  • 86.8Points allowed per game79.8
  • −2.9Average margin+3.9
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 3Games in the last 7 days3
  • 34.2Rebounds per game33.0
  • 18.7Assists per game24.3
  • 10.7Three-pointers made per game10.7
  • 42.1Bench points per game41.7
  • −1.6Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.7
  • −0.3AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.5
  • −1.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+3.2
  • +1.2Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 9 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Shinshu−0.120.3–20.4−0.922.6–23.5−0.320.4–20.7−1.421.4–22.8
Ibaraki Robots+0.223.4–23.2+2.722.8–20.1+4.819.8–15.0+3.721.7–18.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Shinshu

3–2

0–0, 9th in Western Conference

Ibaraki Robots

3–2

0–0, 12th in Eastern Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day