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Shinshu vs Gunma result

HomeShinshu0–0, 9th in Western ConferenceAwayGunma0–0, 11th in Eastern Conference
74–85Final
20%80%
Win probability
Shinshu vs Gunma: player stats and box scoreBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Next meeting: Dec 5. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Pick landed
Gunma to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
78–88
Margin
+10
Result
74–85

Our lines

Point spread
+12.5Shinshu to cover · 59%
Total points
164.5Over · 52% · projected 165.6
Fair odds
1.25Gunma · Shinshu 4.93

Who will win Shinshu vs Gunma?

The numbers side with Gunma (80%) on the road against Shinshu, with 88–78 the most likely shape of the final score.

Shinshu have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 86.2 and allowing 82.2 points a game over that stretch. Gunma have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 91.4 and allowing 70.6 points a game over that stretch.

Shinshu sit 9th in the Western Conference at 0–0, while Gunma sit 11th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Shinshu rate -1.4 and Gunma +4.9 points per game against an average side, a 6.3-point edge to Gunma. Home court is worth about 0.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Gunma at 85% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Gunma -12.5 covers 41% of the time on our numbers, and the over 164.5 lands 52% against a projected 165.6 points.

Gunma to win (80%). Projected score: 88–78.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Shinshu32%15%20%4.93
Winner (incl. overtime)Gunma68%85%80%1.25
Point spreadShinshu +12.573%50%59%1.69
Point spreadGunma -12.527%50%41%2.46
Total pointsOver 164.553%52%52%1.92
Total pointsUnder 164.548%48%48%2.08
1st half spreadShinshu +4.548%–48%2.08
1st half spreadGunma -4.552%–52%1.92
1st half total pointsOver 83.548%–48%2.07
1st half total pointsUnder 83.552%–52%1.93

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

ShinshuBefore tip-offGunma
  • 6–10Season record11–4
  • 4–4Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road4–3
  • 4–6Last 10 games6–4
  • L1Current streakW5
  • 84.5Points per game82.7
  • 86.9Points allowed per game73.7
  • −2.4Average margin+9.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • 34.7Rebounds per game30.1
  • 19.2Assists per game20.4
  • 10.9Three-pointers made per game10.4
  • 38.7Bench points per game51.7
  • −1.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+4.9
  • +0.2AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−0.3
  • −1.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+5.2
  • +0.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 7 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Shinshu−0.920.2–21.1−0.522.6–23.1−1.220.0–21.2−0.922.1–23.0
Gunma+5.321.8–16.5+1.621.3–19.7+0.719.2–18.5+0.321.6–21.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Top performers

Kevon HarrisShinshuVSS. JohnsonGunma

Leading scorers in this game

  • 26.0Points32.0
  • 9.0Rebounds4.0
  • 4.0Assists2.0
  • 1.0Three-pointers made3.0
  • 32.7Minutes30.4

Game leaders

ShinshuThis gameGunma

Key battles

Shinshu vs Gunma: player stats and box scoreLineups: who played
Photo credits (1)

Recent form

Shinshu

4–1

0–0, 9th in Western Conference

Gunma

5–0

0–0, 11th in Eastern Conference

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day