Brave Thunders vs Saga result

HomeBrave Thunders0–0, 7th in Eastern Conference AwaySaga0–0, 13th in Western Conference

90–72Final

69%31%

Win probability

Brave Thunders vs Saga: player stats and box scoreBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Next meeting: Feb 17. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Pick landed

Brave Thunders to win

Prediction updated Fri, Nov 13, 07:40 AM UTC

Predicted score: 87–81
Margin: +6
Result: 90–72

Our lines

Point spread

+6.5Saga to cover · 51%

Total points

168.5Under · 50% · projected 168.5

Fair odds

1.44Brave Thunders · Saga 3.28

Who will win Brave Thunders vs Saga?

Brave Thunders are the pick at home against Saga: a 69% win chance and a projected 87–81 score.

Brave Thunders have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 71.2 and allowing 82.6 points a game over that stretch. Saga have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 83.6 and allowing 98.2 points a game over that stretch.

Brave Thunders sit 7th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0, while Saga sit 13th in the Western Conference at 0–0.

On adjusted efficiency, Brave Thunders rate -3.9 and Saga -8 points per game against an average side, a 4.1-point edge to Brave Thunders. Home court is worth about 0.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Brave Thunders at 71% across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Brave Thunders -6.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the under 168.5 lands 50% against a projected 168.6 points.

Brave Thunders to win (69%). Projected score: 87–81.

Markets

Market	Selection	Model	Market	Final	Fair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)	Brave Thunders	66%	71%	70%	1.44
Winner (incl. overtime)	Saga	34%	29%	31%	3.28
Point spread	Brave Thunders -6.5	45%	52%	49%	2.04
Point spread	Saga +6.5	55%	48%	51%	1.97
Total points	Over 168.5	50%	49%	50%	2.01
Total points	Under 168.5	50%	51%	50%	1.99
1st half spread	Brave Thunders -2.5	53%	–	53%	1.90
1st half spread	Saga +2.5	47%	–	47%	2.11
1st half total points	Over 84.5	50%	–	50%	1.99
1st half total points	Under 84.5	50%	–	50%	2.01

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Brave ThundersBefore tip-offSaga

4–12Season record1–13
1–9Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–4
2–8Last 10 games1–9
L5Current streakL8
78.5Points per game78.2
84.7Points allowed per game95.2
−6.2Average margin−17.0
1 dayRest before this game4 days
3Games in the last 7 days1
37.7Rebounds per game25.5
20.0Assists per game20.2
7.8Three-pointers made per game11.7
44.4Bench points per game34.8
−3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−8.0
−3.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−2.8
−0.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−5.2
+0.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 6 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Brave Thunders	−1.919.3–21.2	+1.521.1–19.6	−4.416.9–21.3	−0.220.1–20.3
Saga	−9.018.1–27.1	−1.220.2–21.4	−3.118.9–22.0	−2.422.5–24.9