Altiri Chiba vs NeoPhoenix result
Next meeting: Mar 17. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings
Our pick
Pick landedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 82–88
- Margin
- +6
- Result
- 69–86
Our lines
Who will win Altiri Chiba vs NeoPhoenix?
NeoPhoenix are the pick on the road against Altiri Chiba: a 69% win chance and a projected 88–82 score.
Altiri Chiba have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 87.6 and allowing 79.8 points a game over that stretch. NeoPhoenix have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 88.8 and allowing 89.0 points a game over that stretch.
Altiri Chiba sit 13th in the Eastern Conference at 0–0, while NeoPhoenix sit 1st in the Western Conference at 0–0.
On adjusted efficiency, Altiri Chiba rate -2.1 and NeoPhoenix +2.3 points per game against an average side, a 4.4-point edge to NeoPhoenix. Home court is worth about 1.1 points in this competition.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices NeoPhoenix at 72% across 9 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, NeoPhoenix -6.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers, and the under 171.5 lands 54% against a projected 168 points.
NeoPhoenix to win (69%). Projected score: 88–82.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Altiri Chiba | 39% | 28% | 31% | 3.19 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | NeoPhoenix | 61% | 72% | 69% | 1.46 |
| Point spread | Altiri Chiba +6.5 | 61% | 48% | 53% | 1.87 |
| Point spread | NeoPhoenix -6.5 | 39% | 52% | 47% | 2.14 |
| Total points | Over 171.5 | 42% | 49% | 46% | 2.16 |
| Total points | Under 171.5 | 58% | 51% | 54% | 1.86 |
| 1st half spread | Altiri Chiba +2.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.08 |
| 1st half spread | NeoPhoenix -2.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.93 |
| 1st half total points | Over 85.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 2.01 |
| 1st half total points | Under 85.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 1.99 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 7–10Season record8–3
- 3–4Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road8–3
- 5–5Last 10 games7–3
- W2Current streakW1
- 80.5Points per game87.5
- 84.6Points allowed per game82.7
- −4.1Average margin+4.8
- 1 dayRest before this game2 days
- 2Games in the last 7 days2
- 34.1Rebounds per game34.6
- 22.6Assists per game21.1
- 10.9Three-pointers made per game10.9
- 49.8Bench points per game40.0
- −2.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.3
- −2.0AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.3
- −0.1DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.9
- +1.1Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–
Team numbers per game from the last 7 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altiri Chiba | +1.623.1–21.5 | −1.219.5–20.7 | −3.418.4–21.8 | +1.519.7–18.2 |
| NeoPhoenix | +2.724.3–21.6 | +1.521.7–20.2 | +0.621.1–20.5 | −0.320.2–20.5 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Top performers
Leading scorers in this game
- 25.0Points14.0
- 10.0Rebounds5.0
- 0.0Assists1.0
- 0.0Three-pointers made2.0
- 26.3Minutes24.7
Game leaders
- Points
- Rebounds
- Assists
- Three-pointers made
Key battles
Photo credits (1)
- D. Pardon · Basketinside il basket a 360°, CC BY-SA 2.0
Recent form
Altiri Chiba
4–10–0, 13th in Eastern Conference
- vs Yokohama75–66
- @ Brave Thunders85–76
- @ Chiba87–89
- @ Akita102–83
- @ Akita89–85
NeoPhoenix
3–20–0, 1st in Western Conference
- @ Levanga Hokkaido110–96
- @ Alvark67–88
- @ Ryukyu96–86
- @ Ryukyu80–86
- @ Kobe91–89
Head to head
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