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Navy vs Hampton result

HomeNavy4–1, 1st in Patriot LeagueAwayHampton1–3, 12th in Coastal Athletic Association
58–56Final
60%40%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Navy to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
72–69
Margin
+3
Result
58–56

Our lines

Point spread
−1.5Navy to cover · 59%
Total points
137.5Over · 58% · projected 145.2
Fair odds
1.68Navy · Hampton 2.48

Who will win Navy vs Hampton?

Navy are the pick at home against Hampton: a 60% win chance and a projected 72–69 score.

Navy have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 72.0 and allowing 68.3 points a game over that stretch. Hampton have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 61.0 and allowing 68.7 points a game over that stretch.

Navy sit 2nd in the Patriot League at 3–1, while Hampton sit 10th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 1–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Navy rate -4.1 and Hampton -0.3 points per game against an average side, a 3.8-point edge to Hampton. Home court is worth about 12.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Navy at 53% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Navy -1.5 covers 59% of the time on our numbers, and the over 137.5 lands 58% against a projected 145.2 points.

Navy to win (60%). Projected score: 72–69. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Navy75%53%60%1.68
Winner (incl. overtime)Hampton25%47%40%2.48
Point spreadNavy -1.571%50%59%1.70
Point spreadHampton +1.529%50%41%2.42
Total pointsOver 137.569%50%58%1.73
Total pointsUnder 137.531%50%42%2.36
1st half spreadNavy -1.551%–51%1.98
1st half spreadHampton +1.549%–49%2.02
1st half total pointsOver 66.552%–52%1.93
1st half total pointsUnder 66.548%–48%2.07

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

NavyBefore tip-offHampton
  • 3–1Season record1–2
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 3–1Last 10 games1–2
  • W3Current streakW1
  • 72.0Points per game61.0
  • 68.3Points allowed per game68.7
  • +3.7Average margin−7.7
  • 2 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • −4.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.3
  • −3.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.6
  • −0.6DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.3
  • +12.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Navy0.00.0–0.0+5.736.0–30.30.00.0–0.0−2.036.0–38.0
Hampton0.00.0–0.0−11.025.0–36.00.00.0–0.0+3.336.0–32.7

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Navy

3–1

4–1, 1st in Patriot League

Hampton

1–2

1–3, 12th in Coastal Athletic Association

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day