Navy vs Penn result
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 72–76
- Margin
- +4
- Result
- 81–76
Our lines
Who will win Navy vs Penn?
The numbers side with Penn (60%) on the road against Navy, with 76–72 the most likely shape of the final score.
Navy have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 69.0 and allowing 65.7 points a game over that stretch. Penn have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 74.0 and allowing 88.5 points a game over that stretch.
Navy sit 1st in the Patriot League at 2–1, while Penn sit 6th in the Ivy League at 1–1.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Penn at 73% across 8 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Penn -7.5 covers 36% of the time on our numbers, and the under 147.5 lands 50% against a projected 147.8 points.
Penn to win (60%). Projected score: 76–72. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Navy | 72% | 27% | 40% | 2.47 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Penn | 28% | 73% | 60% | 1.68 |
| Point spread | Navy +7.5 | 86% | 49% | 64% | 1.56 |
| Point spread | Penn -7.5 | 14% | 51% | 36% | 2.78 |
| Total points | Over 147.5 | 51% | 49% | 50% | 2.00 |
| Total points | Under 147.5 | 49% | 51% | 50% | 2.00 |
| 1st half spread | Navy +1.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.05 |
| 1st half spread | Penn -1.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.95 |
| 1st half total points | Over 70.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.08 |
| 1st half total points | Under 70.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.93 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 2–1Season record1–1
- 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
- 2–1Last 10 games1–1
- W2Current streakW1
- 69.0Points per game74.0
- 65.7Points allowed per game88.5
- +3.3Average margin−14.5
- 2 daysRest before this game1 day
- 2Games in the last 7 days2
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 0.00.0–0.0 | +7.036.0–29.0 | 0.00.0–0.0 | −3.733.0–36.7 |
| Penn | 0.00.0–0.0 | −14.527.5–42.0 | 0.00.0–0.0 | 0.046.5–46.5 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Recent form
Navy
2–14–1, 1st in Patriot League
- vs Central Penn102–46
- vs Delaware State66–60
- @ George Washington39–91
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
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