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Binan Tatak Gel vs Quezon Huskers result

HomeBinan Tatak Gel21–4, 2nd in South DivisionAwayQuezon Huskers23–4, 1st in South Division
68–69Final
37%63%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Quezon Huskers to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
74–78
Margin
+4
Result
68–69

Last meeting

Binan Tatak Gel67–81Quezon Huskers
Our pick: Quezon Huskers 60%Pick landed

Our lines

Point spread
+4.5Binan Tatak Gel to cover · 52%
Total points
152.5Under · 50% · projected 152.2
Fair odds
1.59Quezon Huskers · Binan Tatak Gel 2.69

Who will win Binan Tatak Gel vs Quezon Huskers?

Quezon Huskers are the pick to win at 63%, with a projected final score of 78–74 against Binan Tatak Gel.

Quezon Huskers arrive as the stronger side by adjusted efficiency, rating +14.4 points per game against an average opponent while Binan Tatak Gel sit at +9.4, a 4.9-point edge to the visitors. Home court is worth about 0.9 points in this competition, far too little to close that gap. The model's 63% for Quezon Huskers reflects that efficiency margin more than the venue.

Recent form points the same way. Quezon Huskers have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 77.8 and allowing 65.2 points a game over that stretch, a defensive record that stands out. Binan Tatak Gel have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 71.4 and allowing 73.2, so they have been the more generous side at both ends.

The South Division table is tight at the top: Quezon Huskers lead at 23–4, with Binan Tatak Gel second at 21–4. Head-to-head leans clearly to the visitors, who hold a 3–1 record in the recent meetings, the latest finishing Binan Tatak Gel 67–81 Quezon Huskers on 2026-11-11. Binan Tatak Gel's case rests on home court and a strong season record, but the ratings and the series history both favour the road team.

The market agrees with the model on the winner, pricing Quezon Huskers as the favourite. The projected score of 78–74 gives Binan Tatak Gel a four-point margin to work with on their own floor, which is where their home-court value of about 0.9 points matters most. On the balance of efficiency, form and head-to-head, the visitors' edge looks the more reliable read.

The projected score of 78–74 sits half a point inside our spread line of Quezon Huskers -4.5, so the model gives the visitors only a narrow cover. The projected total of 152.3 lands just under the 152.5 line, leaving the under side marginally ahead on the numbers. Both lines are close enough to the projection that the winner's 63% probability is the more confident call than either market position.

Quezon Huskers to win at 63%, with a projected score of 78–74 over Binan Tatak Gel.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Binan Tatak Gel37%–37%2.69
Winner (incl. overtime)Quezon Huskers63%–63%1.59
Point spreadBinan Tatak Gel +4.552%–52%1.94
Point spreadQuezon Huskers -4.548%–48%2.07
Total pointsOver 152.550%–50%2.02
Total pointsUnder 152.550%–50%1.98
1st half spreadBinan Tatak Gel +2.552%–52%1.91
1st half spreadQuezon Huskers -2.548%–48%2.10
1st half total pointsOver 73.549%–49%2.06
1st half total pointsUnder 73.551%–51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Binan Tatak GelBefore tip-offQuezon Huskers
  • 26–6Season record29–6
  • 12–5Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road18–2
  • 8–2Last 10 games8–2
  • L2Current streakW2
  • 84.8Points per game86.6
  • 71.7Points allowed per game67.3
  • +13.1Average margin+19.3
  • 1 dayRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • +9.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+14.3
  • +1.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.7
  • +8.1DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+11.6
  • +0.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Binan Tatak Gel+2.919.4–16.5+0.518.2–17.7+1.620.3–18.7+1.620.4–18.8
Quezon Huskers+3.820.0–16.2+2.219.7–17.5+5.421.8–16.4+2.820.1–17.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Binan Tatak Gel

3–2

21–4, 2nd in South Division

Quezon Huskers

4–1

23–4, 1st in South Division

  • @ Binan Tatak Gel81–67
  • vs Binan Tatak Gel74–54
  • vs Binan Tatak Gel74–83
  • @ Cebu Greats83–55
  • vs Cebu Greats77–67

Head to head

  • Binan Tatak Gel 67–81 Quezon HuskersPick landed
  • Quezon Huskers 74–54 Binan Tatak GelPick landed
  • Quezon Huskers 74–83 Binan Tatak GelPick missed
  • Binan Tatak Gel 59–66 Quezon Huskers

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