MPBL predictions

MPBL predictions: questions

How accurate are the MPBL predictions?

Every pick is settled in public on the accuracy page, by competition and by confidence, so the record can be checked game by game.

How many points are scored in MPBL games?

Finished MPBL games this season have averaged 167 points in total, and the home team has won 53% of them. Each game's own projected total is on its prediction page.

When are MPBL predictions published?

Up to 3 days before tip-off. Each prediction is updated as the betting market and the line-ups move, until the game starts.

What do the spread and the total mean?

The spread is the projected winning margin: −5.5 means the favourite is expected to win by 6 points or more. The total is the projected number of points both teams score together; the over/under pick says whether the game should finish above or below the bookmakers' line.

Are the MPBL predictions free?

The winner, the win probability and the projected score of every MPBL game are free to read, with no sign-up. The spread and total picks, the market prices and the full analysis are part of the Starter and Pro plans, and three games a day are fully unlocked for everyone.

How are the predictions made?

Each team gets attack and defence ratings from this season's games, weighted toward recent form and adjusted for the opponents faced, plus a home-court edge measured for each competition. Where bookmakers price a game, the model is blended with their consensus.