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Georgia State vs Norfolk State prediction

HomeGeorgia State1–3, 10th in Sun BeltAwayNorfolk State2–2, 4th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
Tip-off
85%15%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Georgia State to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
82–68
Margin
+14

Who will win Georgia State vs Norfolk State?

Georgia State are the pick at home against Norfolk State: an 85% win chance and a projected 82–68 score.

Georgia State have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 85.8 and allowing 77.3 points a game over that stretch. Norfolk State have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 69.8 and allowing 72.8 points a game over that stretch.

Georgia State sit 11th in the Sun Belt at 1–3, while Norfolk State sit 4th in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Georgia State rate -0.4 and Norfolk State -3.5 points per game against an average side, a 3-point edge to Georgia State. Home court is worth about 12 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Georgia State at 84% across 7 bookmakers.

Georgia State to win (85%). Projected score: 82–68.

Tale of the tape

Georgia StateBefore tip-offNorfolk State
  • 1–3Season record2–2
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–3Last 10 games2–2
  • L1Current streakL2
  • 85.8Points per game69.8
  • 77.3Points allowed per game72.8
  • +8.5Average margin−3.0
  • 4 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • −0.4Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−3.5
  • +0.9AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−1.5
  • −1.4DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−2.0
  • +12.0Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Georgia State0.00.0–0.0+3.338.3–35.00.00.0–0.0+6.044.0–38.0
Norfolk State0.00.0–0.0−2.532.3–34.80.00.0–0.0−0.537.5–38.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Georgia State

1–3

1–3, 10th in Sun Belt

Norfolk State

2–2

2–2, 4th in Mid-Eastern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day