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William & Mary vs Norfolk State result

HomeWilliam & Mary2–1, 3rd in Coastal Athletic AssociationAwayNorfolk State2–2, 4th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
104–73Final
75%25%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
William & Mary to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
82–72
Margin
+10
Result
104–73

Our lines

Point spread
+9.5Norfolk State to cover · 54%
Total points
158.5Under · 59% · projected 149.2
Fair odds
1.33William & Mary · Norfolk State 4.03

Who will win William & Mary vs Norfolk State?

William & Mary are the pick at home against Norfolk State: a 75% win chance and a projected 82–72 score.

William & Mary have won 1 of their last 1, scoring 80.0 and allowing 66.0 points a game over that stretch. Norfolk State have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 73.0 and allowing 58.0 points a game over that stretch.

William & Mary sit 4th in the Coastal Athletic Association at 1–0, while Norfolk State sit 3rd in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices William & Mary at 79% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, William & Mary -9.5 covers 46% of the time on our numbers, and the under 158.5 lands 59% against a projected 149.2 points.

William & Mary to win (75%). Projected score: 82–72.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)William & Mary65%79%75%1.33
Winner (incl. overtime)Norfolk State35%21%25%4.03
Point spreadWilliam & Mary -9.540%50%46%2.17
Point spreadNorfolk State +9.560%50%54%1.86
Total pointsOver 158.530%49%41%2.43
Total pointsUnder 158.570%51%59%1.70

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

William & MaryBefore tip-offNorfolk State
  • 1–0Season record2–0
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 1–0Last 10 games2–0
  • W1Current streakW2
  • 80.0Points per game73.0
  • 66.0Points allowed per game58.0
  • +14.0Average margin+15.0
  • 5 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
William & Mary0.00.0–0.0+7.037.0–30.00.00.0–0.0+7.043.0–36.0
Norfolk State0.00.0–0.0+10.535.0–24.50.00.0–0.0+4.538.0–33.5

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

William & Mary

1–0

2–1, 3rd in Coastal Athletic Association

Norfolk State

2–0

2–2, 4th in Mid-Eastern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day