Norfolk State vs Old Dominion result
Our pick
Pick landedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 69–72
- Margin
- +3
- Result
- 60–71
Our lines
Who will win Norfolk State vs Old Dominion?
Our model makes Old Dominion 56% favourites on the road against Norfolk State and projects a 72–69 final.
Norfolk State have won 2 of their last 3, scoring 73.0 and allowing 73.3 points a game over that stretch. Old Dominion have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 78.0 and allowing 52.7 points a game over that stretch.
Norfolk State sit 3rd in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 2–1, while Old Dominion sit 1st in the Sun Belt at 3–0.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Old Dominion at 70% across 8 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Old Dominion -6.5 covers 35% of the time on our numbers, and the over 137.5 lands 58% against a projected 147.4 points.
Old Dominion to win (56%). Projected score: 72–69. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Norfolk State | 75% | 30% | 44% | 2.30 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Old Dominion | 25% | 70% | 56% | 1.77 |
| Point spread | Norfolk State +6.5 | 87% | 51% | 65% | 1.54 |
| Point spread | Old Dominion -6.5 | 13% | 49% | 35% | 2.86 |
| Total points | Over 137.5 | 73% | 48% | 58% | 1.72 |
| Total points | Under 137.5 | 27% | 52% | 42% | 2.38 |
| 1st half spread | Norfolk State +1.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.96 |
| 1st half spread | Old Dominion -1.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.05 |
| 1st half total points | Over 66.5 | 51% | – | 51% | 1.94 |
| 1st half total points | Under 66.5 | 49% | – | 49% | 2.06 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 2–1Season record3–0
- 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–0
- 2–1Last 10 games3–0
- L1Current streakW3
- 73.0Points per game78.0
- 73.3Points allowed per game52.7
- −0.3Average margin+25.3
- 2 daysRest before this game3 days
- 2Games in the last 7 days2
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk State | 0.00.0–0.0 | +0.735.0–34.3 | 0.00.0–0.0 | −1.038.0–39.0 |
| Old Dominion | 0.00.0–0.0 | +14.337.0–22.7 | 0.00.0–0.0 | +11.041.0–30.0 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Recent form
Norfolk State
2–12–2, 4th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
- @ William & Mary73–104
- vs Randolph78–71
- vs Regent University68–45
Old Dominion
3–05–0, 1st in Sun Belt
- @ Bucknell82–62
- vs Regent University91–47
- vs Western Michigan61–49
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
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