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Georgia Tech vs UNC Asheville result

HomeGeorgia Tech4–0, 9th in Atlantic CoastAwayUNC Asheville2–3, 4th in Big South
75–74Final
89%11%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Georgia Tech to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
86–70
Margin
+16
Result
75–74

Our lines

Point spread
+16.5UNC Asheville to cover · 53%
Total points
154.5Over · 53% · projected 155.4
Fair odds
1.13Georgia Tech · UNC Asheville 8.70

Who will win Georgia Tech vs UNC Asheville?

Our model makes Georgia Tech 89% favourites at home against UNC Asheville and projects a 86–70 final.

Georgia Tech have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 85.0 and allowing 69.7 points a game over that stretch. UNC Asheville have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 81.5 and allowing 81.8 points a game over that stretch.

Georgia Tech sit 9th in the Atlantic Coast at 3–0, while UNC Asheville sit 3rd in the Big South at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Georgia Tech rate +0.5 and UNC Asheville +0.2 points per game against an average side, a 0.2-point edge to Georgia Tech. Home court is worth about 12.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Georgia Tech at 91% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Georgia Tech -16.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers, and the over 154.5 lands 53% against a projected 155.5 points.

Georgia Tech to win (89%). Projected score: 86–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)Georgia Tech84%91%89%1.13
Winner (incl. overtime)UNC Asheville16%9%11%8.70
Point spreadGeorgia Tech -16.540%52%47%2.12
Point spreadUNC Asheville +16.560%48%53%1.89
Total pointsOver 154.553%53%53%1.89
Total pointsUnder 154.547%47%47%2.13
1st half spreadGeorgia Tech -7.552%–52%1.92
1st half spreadUNC Asheville +7.548%–48%2.08
1st half total pointsOver 74.549%–49%2.06
1st half total pointsUnder 74.551%–51%1.94

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

Georgia TechBefore tip-offUNC Asheville
  • 3–0Season record2–2
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
  • 3–0Last 10 games2–2
  • W3Current streakW1
  • 85.0Points per game81.5
  • 69.7Points allowed per game81.8
  • +15.3Average margin−0.3
  • 3 daysRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • +0.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.2
  • +0.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.9
  • −0.3DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−1.6
  • +12.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Georgia Tech0.00.0–0.0+10.744.7–34.00.00.0–0.0+4.640.3–35.7
UNC Asheville0.00.0–0.0−3.038.8–41.80.00.0–0.0+2.842.8–40.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

Georgia Tech

3–0

4–0, 9th in Atlantic Coast

UNC Asheville

2–2

2–3, 4th in Big South

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day