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UNC Asheville vs Western Carolina result

HomeUNC Asheville2–3, 4th in Big SouthAwayWestern Carolina2–2, 4th in Southern
75–83Final
47%53%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
Western Carolina to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
80–81
Margin
+1
Result
75–83

Our lines

Point spread
+3.5UNC Asheville to cover · 58%
Total points
152.5Over · 69% · projected 184.9
Fair odds
1.87Western Carolina · UNC Asheville 2.14

Who will win UNC Asheville vs Western Carolina?

Western Carolina are the pick on the road against UNC Asheville: a 53% win chance and a projected 81–80 score.

UNC Asheville have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 89.0 and allowing 87.0 points a game over that stretch. Western Carolina have won 0 of their last 1, scoring 72.0 and allowing 80.0 points a game over that stretch.

UNC Asheville sit 4th in the Big South at 1–1, while Western Carolina sit 8th in the Southern at 0–1.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Western Carolina at 60% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Western Carolina -3.5 covers 42% of the time on our numbers, and the over 152.5 lands 69% against a projected 184.9 points.

Western Carolina to win (53%). Projected score: 81–80. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)UNC Asheville61%40%47%2.14
Winner (incl. overtime)Western Carolina39%60%53%1.87
Point spreadUNC Asheville +3.572%50%58%1.71
Point spreadWestern Carolina -3.528%51%42%2.40
Total pointsOver 152.598%50%69%1.44
Total pointsUnder 152.52%50%31%3.25

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

UNC AshevilleBefore tip-offWestern Carolina
  • 1–1Season record0–1
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–1
  • 1–1Last 10 games0–1
  • W1Current streakL1
  • 89.0Points per game72.0
  • 87.0Points allowed per game80.0
  • +2.0Average margin−8.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game4 days
  • 2Games in the last 7 days1

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
UNC Asheville0.00.0–0.0−6.539.0–45.50.00.0–0.0+8.550.0–41.5
Western Carolina0.00.0–0.0−9.030.0–39.00.00.0–0.0+1.042.0–41.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

UNC Asheville

1–1

2–3, 4th in Big South

Western Carolina

0–1

2–2, 4th in Southern

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day