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South Florida vs Coppin State result

HomeSouth Florida2–2, 8th in American ConferenceAwayCoppin State1–4, 6th in Mid-Eastern Athletic
73–63Final
92%8%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
South Florida to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
84–65
Margin
+19
Result
73–63

Our lines

Point spread
+28.5Coppin State to cover · 65%
Total points
150.5Under · 52% · projected 148.7
Fair odds
1.08South Florida · Coppin State 13.30

Who will win South Florida vs Coppin State?

The numbers side with South Florida (92%) at home against Coppin State, with 84–65 the most likely shape of the final score.

South Florida have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 86.0 and allowing 78.7 points a game over that stretch. Coppin State have won 1 of their last 4, scoring 62.3 and allowing 66.3 points a game over that stretch.

South Florida sit 12th in the American Conference at 1–2, while Coppin State sit 6th in the Mid-Eastern Athletic at 1–3.

On adjusted efficiency, South Florida rate +0.9 and Coppin State -1.1 points per game against an average side, a 2-point edge to South Florida. Home court is worth about 12.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices South Florida at 95% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, South Florida -28.5 covers 35% of the time on our numbers, and the under 150.5 lands 52% against a projected 148.8 points.

South Florida to win (92%). Projected score: 84–65.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)South Florida87%95%92%1.08
Winner (incl. overtime)Coppin State13%5%8%13.30
Point spreadSouth Florida -28.515%49%35%2.83
Point spreadCoppin State +28.585%51%65%1.55
Total pointsOver 150.546%49%48%2.10
Total pointsUnder 150.554%51%52%1.91
1st half spreadSouth Florida -9.550%–50%2.00
1st half spreadCoppin State +9.550%–50%2.00
1st half total pointsOver 71.549%–49%2.05
1st half total pointsUnder 71.551%–51%1.96

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

South FloridaBefore tip-offCoppin State
  • 1–2Season record1–3
  • 1–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 1–2Last 10 games1–3
  • L2Current streakL1
  • 86.0Points per game62.3
  • 78.7Points allowed per game66.3
  • +7.3Average margin−4.0
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • +0.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.1
  • +2.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents−3.7
  • −1.5DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+2.6
  • +12.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
South Florida0.00.0–0.0−3.437.3–40.70.00.0–0.0+10.748.7–38.0
Coppin State0.00.0–0.0−3.732.8–36.50.00.0–0.0−0.329.5–29.8

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

South Florida

1–2

2–2, 8th in American Conference

Coppin State

1–3

1–4, 6th in Mid-Eastern Athletic

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day