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South Florida vs Saint Josephs Hawks result

HomeSouth Florida2–2, 8th in American ConferenceAwaySaint Josephs Hawks4–0, 6th in Atlantic 10
80–83Final
75%25%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick missed
South Florida to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
80–70
Margin
+10
Result
80–83

Our lines

Point spread
−7.5South Florida to cover · 55%
Total points
148.5Over · 53% · projected 151.5
Fair odds
1.33South Florida · Saint Josephs Hawks 4.07

Who will win South Florida vs Saint Josephs Hawks?

Our model makes South Florida 75% favourites at home against Saint Josephs Hawks and projects a 80–70 final.

South Florida have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 89.0 and allowing 76.5 points a game over that stretch. Saint Josephs Hawks have won 2 of their last 2, scoring 74.5 and allowing 65.0 points a game over that stretch.

South Florida sit 7th in the American Conference at 1–1, while Saint Josephs Hawks sit 8th in the Atlantic 10 at 2–0.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices South Florida at 73% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, South Florida -7.5 covers 55% of the time on our numbers, and the over 148.5 lands 53% against a projected 151.5 points.

South Florida to win (75%). Projected score: 80–70.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)South Florida80%73%75%1.33
Winner (incl. overtime)Saint Josephs Hawks20%27%25%4.07
Point spreadSouth Florida -7.564%49%55%1.82
Point spreadSaint Josephs Hawks +7.536%51%45%2.22
Total pointsOver 148.557%51%53%1.88
Total pointsUnder 148.543%49%47%2.14
1st half spreadSouth Florida -5.549%–49%2.05
1st half spreadSaint Josephs Hawks +5.551%–51%1.95
1st half total pointsOver 71.549%–49%2.06
1st half total pointsUnder 71.551%–51%1.95

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

South FloridaBefore tip-offSaint Josephs Hawks
  • 1–1Season record2–0
  • 1–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–0
  • 1–1Last 10 games2–0
  • L1Current streakW2
  • 89.0Points per game74.5
  • 76.5Points allowed per game65.0
  • +12.5Average margin+9.5
  • 5 daysRest before this game3 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OT
South Florida0.00.0–0.0−2.539.0–41.50.00.0–0.0+15.050.0–35.0–
Saint Josephs Hawks0.00.0–0.0+9.535.5–26.00.00.0–0.0−5.033.0–38.0+10.012.0–2.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

South Florida

1–1

2–2, 8th in American Conference

Saint Josephs Hawks

2–0

4–0, 6th in Atlantic 10

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day