Trabzonspor vs Esenler Erokspor result

HomeTrabzonspor3–2, 7th in AwayEsenler Erokspor4–1, 4th in

90–93Final

61%39%

Win probability

Trabzonspor vs Esenler Erokspor player statsBox score, top scorers and team totals of the game

Next meeting: Feb 12. This page switches to its preview the day before the game.Next meetings

Our pick

Pick missed

Trabzonspor to win

Prediction updated Sat, Oct 24, 09:27 AM UTC

Predicted score: 83–80
Margin: +3
Result: 90–93

Our lines

Point spread

+3.5Esenler Erokspor to cover · 51%

Total points

164.5Under · 53% · projected 162.5

Fair odds

1.65Trabzonspor · Esenler Erokspor 2.55

Who will win Trabzonspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

The numbers side with Trabzonspor (61%) at home against Esenler Erokspor, with 83–80 the most likely shape of the final score.

Trabzonspor have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 80.3 and allowing 79.0 points a game over that stretch. Esenler Erokspor have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 83.8 and allowing 81.0 points a game over that stretch.

Trabzonspor sit 5th at 3–1, while Esenler Erokspor sit 2nd at 3–1.

On adjusted efficiency, Trabzonspor rate +0.1 and Esenler Erokspor +1 points per game against an average side, a 0.8-point edge to Esenler Erokspor. Home court is worth about 3.3 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Trabzonspor at 61% across 9 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, Trabzonspor -3.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers, and the under 164.5 lands 53% against a projected 162.5 points.

Trabzonspor to win (61%). Projected score: 83–80.

Markets

Market	Selection	Model	Market	Final	Fair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)	Trabzonspor	61%	61%	61%	1.65
Winner (incl. overtime)	Esenler Erokspor	39%	39%	39%	2.55
Point spread	Trabzonspor -3.5	45%	52%	49%	2.03
Point spread	Esenler Erokspor +3.5	55%	48%	51%	1.97
Total points	Over 164.5	44%	48%	47%	2.14
Total points	Under 164.5	56%	52%	53%	1.88

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

TrabzonsporBefore tip-offEsenler Erokspor

3–1Season record3–1
2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–1
3–1Last 10 games3–1
W2Current streakW3
80.3Points per game83.8
79.0Points allowed per game81.0
+1.3Average margin+2.8
5 daysRest before this game2 days
1Games in the last 7 days2
25.3Rebounds per game36.2
22.3Assists per game23.0
13.7Three-pointers made per game12.2
35.3Bench points per game36.5
+0.1Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+1.0
−0.7AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.4
+0.9DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+0.6
+3.3Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 3 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Trabzonspor	+1.821.3–19.5	+4.523.0–18.5	−4.519.3–23.8	−0.516.8–17.3
Esenler Erokspor	+7.326.3–19.0	−4.318.0–22.3	−7.312.0–19.3	+7.027.5–20.5