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Fenerbahce vs Anadolu Efes prediction

HomeFenerbahce5–2, 6th in AwayAnadolu Efes5–2, 9th in
Tip-off
70%30%
Win probability

Our pick

Lean
Fenerbahce to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
86–81
Margin
+5

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Anadolu Efes?

The numbers side with Fenerbahce (70%) at home against Anadolu Efes, with 86–81 the most likely shape of the final score.

Fenerbahce have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 88.0 and allowing 75.0 points a game over that stretch. Anadolu Efes have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 84.4 and allowing 79.2 points a game over that stretch.

Fenerbahce sit 6th at 5–2, while Anadolu Efes sit 9th at 5–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Fenerbahce rate +3.3 and Anadolu Efes +2 points per game against an average side, a 1.3-point edge to Fenerbahce. Home court is worth about 2.8 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Fenerbahce at 72% across 9 bookmakers.

Fenerbahce to win (70%). Projected score: 86–81.

Tale of the tape

FenerbahceBefore tip-offAnadolu Efes
  • 5–2Season record5–2
  • 2–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road2–1
  • 5–2Last 10 games5–2
  • W3Current streakL1
  • 86.9Points per game86.0
  • 79.6Points allowed per game79.4
  • +7.3Average margin+6.6
  • 3 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 32.9Rebounds per game31.6
  • 17.2Assists per game21.7
  • 8.4Three-pointers made per game9.6
  • 52.1Bench points per game47.2
  • +3.3Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+2.0
  • +1.5AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+0.8
  • +1.8DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents+1.1
  • +2.8Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 10 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Fenerbahce+1.621.3–19.7+2.323.7–21.4+4.021.3–17.3−0.520.6–21.1
Anadolu Efes+2.220.6–18.4+3.324.0–20.7+2.921.9–19.0−1.719.6–21.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Talen Horton-TuckerGuard · FenerbahceVSCameron PayneGuard · Anadolu Efes

Leading scorers · averages over the last 5 games

  • 21.3Points14.8
  • 5.8Rebounds1.6
  • 2.5Assists6.4
  • 1.5Three-pointers made3.4
  • 22.9Minutes20.5

Team leaders

FenerbahceThis seasonAnadolu Efes

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (5 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Wade BaldwinVSCameron Payne
PTS
10.8·14.8
REB
2.5·1.6
AST
3.3·6.4
Guards
Braxton KeyVSCollin Malcolm
PTS
10.0·14.4
REB
5.0·4.4
AST
2.0·1.2
Guards
Trent ForrestVSP.J. Dozier
PTS
5.6·3.0
REB
2.2·0.0
AST
3.0·1.0
Forwards
Shavon ShieldsVSBruno Fernando
PTS
9.0·14.0
REB
4.8·7.0
AST
2.3·1.3
Cross-matchup
Ignas SargiunasVSDario Saric
PTS
5.0·10.4
REB
1.3·7.2
AST
1.0·3.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Fenerbahce

Likely starting five

  1. Braxton Key
    Guard · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    10.0
  2. Trent Forrest
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    5.6
  3. Ignas Sargiunas
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    5.0
  4. Wade Baldwin
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    10.8
  5. Shavon Shields
    Forward · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    9.0
Missed the last game
Away
Anadolu Efes

Likely starting five

  1. Collin Malcolm
    Guard · Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    14.4
  2. Dario Saric
    Forward · Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    10.4
  3. Bruno Fernando
    Forward · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    14.0
  4. Cameron Payne
    Guard · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    14.8
  5. P.J. Dozier
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    3.0
Full lineups and benchFenerbahce vs Anadolu Efes: player stats and box score
Photo credits (20)

Recent form

Fenerbahce

4–1

5–2, 6th in

Anadolu Efes

3–2

5–2, 9th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day