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Barcelona vs Paris prediction

HomeBarcelona8–3, 4th in AwayParis5–6, 14th in
Tip-off
72%28%
Win probability

Our pick

Strong
Barcelona to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
95–89
Margin
+6

Who will win Barcelona vs Paris?

Barcelona are the pick at home against Paris: a 72% win chance and a projected 95–89 score.

Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 88.8 and allowing 84.6 points a game over that stretch. Paris have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 99.4 and allowing 98.0 points a game over that stretch.

Barcelona sit 4th at 8–3, while Paris sit 14th at 5–6.

On adjusted efficiency, Barcelona rate +1.5 and Paris -1 points per game against an average side, a 2.5-point edge to Barcelona. Home court is worth about 2.9 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Barcelona at 73% across 7 bookmakers.

Barcelona to win (72%). Projected score: 95–89.

Tale of the tape

BarcelonaBefore tip-offParis
  • 8–3Season record5–6
  • 3–2Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road3–2
  • 7–3Last 10 games5–5
  • W5Current streakW4
  • 89.6Points per game91.0
  • 87.4Points allowed per game94.1
  • +2.2Average margin−3.1
  • 1 dayRest before this game2 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days2
  • 34.6Rebounds per game32.7
  • 17.4Assists per game19.5
  • 11.0Three-pointers made per game11.4
  • 51.4Bench points per game61.6
  • +1.5Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−1.0
  • +1.4AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+3.2
  • +0.1DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−4.2
  • +2.9Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 10 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Barcelona+1.723.1–21.4−2.619.3–21.9+1.823.3–21.5+1.423.2–21.8
Paris+0.422.0–21.6−1.021.3–22.3−2.123.7–25.8+1.024.0–23.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

Justin RobinsonGuard · BarcelonaVSN. HifiParis

Leading scorers · averages over the last 5 games

  • 17.0Points21.0
  • 1.2Rebounds3.5
  • 3.2Assists4.5
  • 2.4Three-pointers made2.5
  • 20.8Minutes23.4

Team leaders

BarcelonaThis seasonParis

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (7 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Justin RobinsonVSFrank Ntilikina
PTS
17.0·14.0
REB
1.2·2.5
AST
3.2·2.8
Guards
Stanley UmudeVSTerry Tarpey
PTS
4.4·2.0
REB
2.8·4.0
AST
0.8·1.3
Centres
Josh NeboVSMouhamed Faye
PTS
5.8·8.3
REB
7.4·3.8
AST
0.8·0.3
Starters
T. MartinVSN. Hifi
PTS
9.6·21.0
REB
4.8·3.5
AST
2.4·4.5
Cross-matchup
Joel ParraVSD. Hommes
PTS
11.0·5.0
REB
3.2·2.0
AST
0.8·0.0

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Barcelona

Likely starting five

  1. Josh Nebo
    Center · Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    5.8
  2. Justin Robinson
    Guard · Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    17.0
  3. Joel Parra
    Forward · Started 3 of last 5
    PPG
    11.0
  4. T. Martin
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    9.6
  5. Stanley Umude
    Guard · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    4.4
Missed the last game
Away
Paris

Likely starting five

  1. N. Hifi
    Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    21.0
  2. Frank Ntilikina
    Guard · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    14.0
  3. Mouhamed Faye
    Center · Started 2 of last 5
    PPG
    8.3
  4. Terry Tarpey
    Guard · Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    2.0
  5. D. Hommes
    Started 1 of last 5
    PPG
    5.0
Missed the last game
Full lineups and benchBarcelona vs Paris: player stats and box score
Photo credits (15)

Recent form

Barcelona

5–0

8–3, 4th in

Paris

4–1

5–6, 14th in

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day