Basketora

TCU vs Wisc. Milwaukee result

HomeTCU4–0, 1st in Big 12AwayWisc. Milwaukee2–3, 7th in Horizon League
76–64Final
93%7%
Win probability

Our pick

Pick landed
TCU to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
89–69
Margin
+20
Result
76–64

Our lines

Point spread
+23.5Wisc. Milwaukee to cover · 56%
Total points
158.5Under · 51% · projected 157.7
Fair odds
1.08TCU · Wisc. Milwaukee 13.37

Who will win TCU vs Wisc. Milwaukee?

The numbers side with TCU (93%) at home against Wisc. Milwaukee, with 89–69 the most likely shape of the final score.

TCU have won 3 of their last 3, scoring 101.3 and allowing 68.3 points a game over that stretch. Wisc. Milwaukee have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 79.0 and allowing 77.8 points a game over that stretch.

TCU sit 3rd in the Big 12 at 3–0, while Wisc. Milwaukee sit 5th in the Horizon League at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, TCU rate +3.9 and Wisc. Milwaukee +0.2 points per game against an average side, a 3.8-point edge to TCU. Home court is worth about 13.5 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices TCU at 94% across 8 bookmakers.

Against the market lines, TCU -23.5 covers 44% of the time on our numbers, and the under 158.5 lands 51% against a projected 157.7 points.

TCU to win (93%). Projected score: 89–69.

Markets

MarketSelectionModelMarketFinalFair odds
Winner (incl. overtime)TCU90%94%93%1.08
Winner (incl. overtime)Wisc. Milwaukee10%6%7%13.37
Point spreadTCU -23.532%51%44%2.30
Point spreadWisc. Milwaukee +23.568%49%56%1.77
Total pointsOver 158.548%50%49%2.03
Total pointsUnder 158.552%50%51%1.97
1st half spreadTCU -9.551%–51%1.96
1st half spreadWisc. Milwaukee +9.549%–49%2.04
1st half total pointsOver 75.549%–49%2.04
1st half total pointsUnder 75.551%–51%1.97

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Tale of the tape

TCUBefore tip-offWisc. Milwaukee
  • 3–0Season record2–2
  • 3–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road1–2
  • 3–0Last 10 games2–2
  • W3Current streakW2
  • 101.3Points per game79.0
  • 68.3Points allowed per game77.8
  • +33.0Average margin+1.2
  • 2 daysRest before this game1 day
  • 2Games in the last 7 days2
  • +3.9Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side+0.2
  • +4.1AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+1.1
  • −0.2DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−0.9
  • +13.5Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
TCU0.00.0–0.0+16.749.0–32.30.00.0–0.0+13.746.7–33.0
Wisc. Milwaukee0.00.0–0.0−2.736.8–39.50.00.0–0.0+4.042.3–38.3

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Recent form

TCU

3–0

4–0, 1st in Big 12

Wisc. Milwaukee

2–2

2–3, 7th in Horizon League

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Other games that day