Indiana State vs Wisc. Milwaukee result
Our pick
Pick missedPrediction updated
- Predicted score
- 80–73
- Margin
- +7
- Result
- 73–82
Our lines
Who will win Indiana State vs Wisc. Milwaukee?
Our model makes Indiana State 68% favourites at home against Wisc. Milwaukee and projects a 80–73 final.
Indiana State have won 1 of their last 2, scoring 69.5 and allowing 72.0 points a game over that stretch. Wisc. Milwaukee have won 1 of their last 3, scoring 78.0 and allowing 79.3 points a game over that stretch.
Indiana State sit 9th in the Missouri Valley at 1–1, while Wisc. Milwaukee sit 6th in the Horizon League at 1–2.
The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Indiana State at 62% across 8 bookmakers.
Against the market lines, Indiana State -4.5 covers 58% of the time on our numbers, and the under 154.5 lands 52% against a projected 153 points.
Indiana State to win (68%). Projected score: 80–73.
Markets
| Market | Selection | Model | Market | Final | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Indiana State | 82% | 62% | 68% | 1.48 |
| Winner (incl. overtime) | Wisc. Milwaukee | 18% | 38% | 32% | 3.10 |
| Point spread | Indiana State -4.5 | 73% | 48% | 58% | 1.73 |
| Point spread | Wisc. Milwaukee +4.5 | 27% | 52% | 42% | 2.37 |
| Total points | Over 154.5 | 46% | 49% | 48% | 2.08 |
| Total points | Under 154.5 | 54% | 51% | 52% | 1.92 |
| 1st half spread | Indiana State -3.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 2.01 |
| 1st half spread | Wisc. Milwaukee +3.5 | 50% | – | 50% | 1.99 |
| 1st half total points | Over 72.5 | 52% | – | 52% | 1.93 |
| 1st half total points | Under 72.5 | 48% | – | 48% | 2.08 |
Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.
Tale of the tape
- 1–1Season record1–2
- 0–1Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
- 1–1Last 10 games1–2
- W1Current streakW1
- 69.5Points per game78.0
- 72.0Points allowed per game79.3
- −2.5Average margin−1.3
- 4 daysRest before this game2 days
- 1Games in the last 7 days2
Quarter by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State | 0.00.0–0.0 | −1.031.0–32.0 | 0.00.0–0.0 | −1.538.5–40.0 |
| Wisc. Milwaukee | 0.00.0–0.0 | −6.034.3–40.3 | 0.00.0–0.0 | +4.743.7–39.0 |
Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.
Recent form
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
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